The Hartford Municipal Fund Market Value
| HHMYX Fund | USD 8.30 0.02 0.24% |
| Symbol | The |
The Hartford 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to The Hartford's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of The Hartford.
| 12/11/2024 |
| 01/10/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in The Hartford on December 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Hartford Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in The Hartford over 30 days. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in investment grade and non-investment grade municipal s... More
The Hartford Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure The Hartford's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Hartford Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.2 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2415 |
The Hartford Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for The Hartford's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as The Hartford's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use The Hartford historical prices to predict the future The Hartford's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.83) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of The Hartford's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
The Hartford Municipal Backtested Returns
The Hartford Municipal owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0516, which indicates the fund had a -0.0516% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. The Hartford Municipal exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate The Hartford's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,216), risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Variance of 0.0474 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0336, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, the Hartford's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding the Hartford is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.44 |
Modest reverse predictability
The Hartford Municipal has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between The Hartford time series from 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024 and 26th of December 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of The Hartford Municipal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current The Hartford price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.44 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
The Hartford Municipal lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is The Hartford mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting The Hartford's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of The Hartford returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that The Hartford has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
The Hartford regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If The Hartford mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if The Hartford mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in The Hartford mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
The Hartford Lagged Returns
When evaluating The Hartford's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of The Hartford mutual fund have on its future price. The Hartford autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, The Hartford autocorrelation shows the relationship between The Hartford mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Hartford Municipal.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund
The Hartford financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Hartford security.
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