HDFC Bank (Germany) Market Value

HDFA Stock  EUR 57.00  1.50  2.56%   
HDFC Bank's market value is the price at which a share of HDFC Bank trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HDFC Bank Limited investors about its performance. HDFC Bank is trading at 57.00 as of the 2nd of March 2025. This is a 2.56 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 57.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HDFC Bank Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HDFC Bank over a given investment horizon. Check out HDFC Bank Correlation, HDFC Bank Volatility and HDFC Bank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HDFC Bank.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HDFC Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HDFC Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HDFC Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HDFC Bank 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HDFC Bank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HDFC Bank.
0.00
01/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HDFC Bank on January 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HDFC Bank Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in HDFC Bank over 30 days. HDFC Bank is related to or competes with Neinor Homes, Haverty Furniture, Chesapeake Utilities, United Utilities, Universal Entertainment, and Fuji Media. HDFC Bank Limited provides various banking and financial services to individuals and businesses in India, Bahrain, Hong ... More

HDFC Bank Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HDFC Bank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HDFC Bank Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HDFC Bank Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HDFC Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HDFC Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HDFC Bank historical prices to predict the future HDFC Bank's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.3357.0058.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.3649.0362.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.6956.3658.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55.4957.4059.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HDFC Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HDFC Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HDFC Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HDFC Bank Limited.

HDFC Bank Limited Backtested Returns

HDFC Bank Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.11, which attests that the entity had a -0.11 % return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. HDFC Bank Limited exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out HDFC Bank's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,739), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.31 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0561, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning HDFC Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, HDFC Bank is likely to outperform the market. At this point, HDFC Bank Limited has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to check out HDFC Bank's variance, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the standard deviation and information ratio , to decide if HDFC Bank Limited performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.54  

Good reverse predictability

HDFC Bank Limited has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HDFC Bank time series from 31st of January 2025 to 15th of February 2025 and 15th of February 2025 to 2nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HDFC Bank Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current HDFC Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.54
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.52

HDFC Bank Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HDFC Bank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HDFC Bank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HDFC Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HDFC Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HDFC Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HDFC Bank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HDFC Bank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HDFC Bank stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HDFC Bank Lagged Returns

When evaluating HDFC Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HDFC Bank stock have on its future price. HDFC Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HDFC Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between HDFC Bank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HDFC Bank Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in HDFC Stock

When determining whether HDFC Bank Limited offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of HDFC Bank's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hdfc Bank Limited Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hdfc Bank Limited Stock:
Check out HDFC Bank Correlation, HDFC Bank Volatility and HDFC Bank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HDFC Bank.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
HDFC Bank technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of HDFC Bank technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of HDFC Bank trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...