Hawesko Holding (Germany) Market Value

HAW Stock   26.20  0.80  2.96%   
Hawesko Holding's market value is the price at which a share of Hawesko Holding trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hawesko Holding AG investors about its performance. Hawesko Holding is selling for under 26.20 as of the 21st of December 2024; that is 2.96 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 26.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hawesko Holding AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hawesko Holding over a given investment horizon. Check out Hawesko Holding Correlation, Hawesko Holding Volatility and Hawesko Holding Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hawesko Holding.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hawesko Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hawesko Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hawesko Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hawesko Holding 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hawesko Holding's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hawesko Holding.
0.00
06/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hawesko Holding on June 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hawesko Holding AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hawesko Holding over 180 days. Hawesko Holding is related to or competes with NAKED WINES, Superior Plus, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, RYOHIN UNSPADR1, Vanguard Funds, Meli Hotels, and Heidelberg Materials. More

Hawesko Holding Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hawesko Holding's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hawesko Holding AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hawesko Holding Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hawesko Holding's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hawesko Holding's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hawesko Holding historical prices to predict the future Hawesko Holding's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hawesko Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.4126.2028.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.7121.5028.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.6527.4430.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.5624.4127.25
Details

Hawesko Holding AG Backtested Returns

Currently, Hawesko Holding AG is not too volatile. Hawesko Holding AG holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0113, which attests that the entity had a 0.0113% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Hawesko Holding AG, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Hawesko Holding's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.35), risk adjusted performance of 0.0391, and Downside Deviation of 2.56 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0314%. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.28, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hawesko Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hawesko Holding is likely to outperform the market. Hawesko Holding AG right now retains a risk of 2.79%. Please check out Hawesko Holding skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Hawesko Holding will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.34  

Below average predictability

Hawesko Holding AG has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hawesko Holding time series from 24th of June 2024 to 22nd of September 2024 and 22nd of September 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hawesko Holding AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Hawesko Holding price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.34
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.69

Hawesko Holding AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hawesko Holding stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hawesko Holding's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hawesko Holding returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hawesko Holding has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hawesko Holding regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hawesko Holding stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hawesko Holding stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hawesko Holding stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hawesko Holding Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hawesko Holding's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hawesko Holding stock have on its future price. Hawesko Holding autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hawesko Holding autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hawesko Holding stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hawesko Holding AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Hawesko Stock Analysis

When running Hawesko Holding's price analysis, check to measure Hawesko Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hawesko Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Hawesko Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hawesko Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hawesko Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hawesko Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.