Lundin Mining (Germany) Market Value

GXD Stock  EUR 8.38  0.40  4.56%   
Lundin Mining's market value is the price at which a share of Lundin Mining trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lundin Mining investors about its performance. Lundin Mining is trading at 8.38 as of the 18th of December 2024. This is a 4.56% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lundin Mining and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lundin Mining over a given investment horizon. Check out Lundin Mining Correlation, Lundin Mining Volatility and Lundin Mining Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lundin Mining.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Lundin Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lundin Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lundin Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lundin Mining 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lundin Mining's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lundin Mining.
0.00
11/18/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lundin Mining on November 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lundin Mining or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lundin Mining over 30 days. Lundin Mining is related to or competes with Southern Copper, Sandfire Resources, Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, NorAm Drilling, and BANK HANDLOWY. Lundin Mining Corporation, a diversified base metals mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and mining... More

Lundin Mining Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lundin Mining's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lundin Mining upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lundin Mining Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lundin Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lundin Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lundin Mining historical prices to predict the future Lundin Mining's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.978.3810.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.897.309.71
Details

Lundin Mining Backtested Returns

At this point, Lundin Mining is somewhat reliable. Lundin Mining has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0025, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0025% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Lundin Mining, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Lundin Mining's Downside Deviation of 2.35, mean deviation of 1.92, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0289 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.006%. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.62, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Lundin Mining's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lundin Mining is expected to be smaller as well. Lundin Mining right now secures a risk of 2.37%. Please verify Lundin Mining information ratio, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Lundin Mining will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.39  

Below average predictability

Lundin Mining has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lundin Mining time series from 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024 and 3rd of December 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lundin Mining price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Lundin Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.39
Spearman Rank Test0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

Lundin Mining lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lundin Mining stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lundin Mining's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lundin Mining returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lundin Mining has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Lundin Mining regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lundin Mining stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lundin Mining stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lundin Mining stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lundin Mining Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lundin Mining's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lundin Mining stock have on its future price. Lundin Mining autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lundin Mining autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lundin Mining stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lundin Mining.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Lundin Stock

Lundin Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lundin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lundin with respect to the benefits of owning Lundin Mining security.