Goehring Rozencwajg Resources Fund Market Value

GRHAX Fund  USD 12.40  0.12  0.98%   
Goehring Rozencwajg's market value is the price at which a share of Goehring Rozencwajg trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Goehring Rozencwajg Resources investors about its performance. Goehring Rozencwajg is trading at 12.40 as of the 27th of February 2025; that is 0.98 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.28.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Goehring Rozencwajg Resources and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Goehring Rozencwajg over a given investment horizon. Check out Goehring Rozencwajg Correlation, Goehring Rozencwajg Volatility and Goehring Rozencwajg Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Goehring Rozencwajg.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Goehring Rozencwajg's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Goehring Rozencwajg is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Goehring Rozencwajg's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Goehring Rozencwajg 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Goehring Rozencwajg's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Goehring Rozencwajg.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Goehring Rozencwajg on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Goehring Rozencwajg Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Goehring Rozencwajg over 30 days. Goehring Rozencwajg is related to or competes with Intal High, Gmo High, Metropolitan West, Alpine High, Artisan High, Barings Us, and Ab High. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of natural resources co... More

Goehring Rozencwajg Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Goehring Rozencwajg's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Goehring Rozencwajg Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Goehring Rozencwajg Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Goehring Rozencwajg's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Goehring Rozencwajg's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Goehring Rozencwajg historical prices to predict the future Goehring Rozencwajg's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8812.4013.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9912.5114.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9712.4914.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3712.9413.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goehring Rozencwajg. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goehring Rozencwajg's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goehring Rozencwajg's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Goehring Rozencwajg.

Goehring Rozencwajg Backtested Returns

Goehring Rozencwajg holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0956, which attests that the entity had a -0.0956 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Goehring Rozencwajg exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Goehring Rozencwajg's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19), risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Standard Deviation of 1.49 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.57, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Goehring Rozencwajg's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Goehring Rozencwajg is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.63  

Very good reverse predictability

Goehring Rozencwajg Resources has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Goehring Rozencwajg time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Goehring Rozencwajg price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Goehring Rozencwajg price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.63
Spearman Rank Test-0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Goehring Rozencwajg lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Goehring Rozencwajg mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Goehring Rozencwajg's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Goehring Rozencwajg returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Goehring Rozencwajg has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Goehring Rozencwajg regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Goehring Rozencwajg mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Goehring Rozencwajg mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Goehring Rozencwajg mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Goehring Rozencwajg Lagged Returns

When evaluating Goehring Rozencwajg's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Goehring Rozencwajg mutual fund have on its future price. Goehring Rozencwajg autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Goehring Rozencwajg autocorrelation shows the relationship between Goehring Rozencwajg mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Goehring Rozencwajg Resources.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Goehring Mutual Fund

Goehring Rozencwajg financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goehring Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goehring with respect to the benefits of owning Goehring Rozencwajg security.
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