Games Workshop Group Stock Market Value
| GMWKF Stock | USD 168.00 10.00 5.62% |
| Symbol | Games |
Games Workshop 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Games Workshop's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Games Workshop.
| 11/06/2024 |
| 01/05/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Games Workshop on November 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Games Workshop Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Games Workshop over 60 days. Games Workshop is related to or competes with OneSpaWorld Holdings, Johnson Outdoors, Escalade Incorporated, JAKKS Pacific, Clarus Corp, Six Flags, and Life Time. Games Workshop Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, distributes, and sells miniature figure... More
Games Workshop Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Games Workshop's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Games Workshop Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.1 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1231 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.05 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.99 |
Games Workshop Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Games Workshop's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Games Workshop's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Games Workshop historical prices to predict the future Games Workshop's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1135 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3476 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3111 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0832 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.786 |
Games Workshop Group Backtested Returns
Games Workshop appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Games Workshop Group holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Games Workshop Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Games Workshop's Downside Deviation of 4.1, market risk adjusted performance of 0.796, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1135 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Games Workshop holds a performance score of 10. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.45, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Games Workshop's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Games Workshop is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Games Workshop's sortino ratio, skewness, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Games Workshop's current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.73 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Games Workshop Group has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Games Workshop time series from 6th of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 5th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Games Workshop Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Games Workshop price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.73 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.66 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 20.42 |
Games Workshop Group lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Games Workshop pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Games Workshop's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Games Workshop returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Games Workshop has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Games Workshop regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Games Workshop pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Games Workshop pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Games Workshop pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Games Workshop Lagged Returns
When evaluating Games Workshop's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Games Workshop pink sheet have on its future price. Games Workshop autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Games Workshop autocorrelation shows the relationship between Games Workshop pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Games Workshop Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Games Pink Sheet
Games Workshop financial ratios help investors to determine whether Games Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Games with respect to the benefits of owning Games Workshop security.