Gmo Quality Cyclicals Fund Market Value

GMAEX Fund  USD 21.99  0.07  0.32%   
Gmo Quality's market value is the price at which a share of Gmo Quality trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gmo Quality Cyclicals investors about its performance. Gmo Quality is trading at 21.99 as of the 10th of January 2025; that is 0.32 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 22.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gmo Quality Cyclicals and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gmo Quality over a given investment horizon. Check out Gmo Quality Correlation, Gmo Quality Volatility and Gmo Quality Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gmo Quality.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gmo Quality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gmo Quality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gmo Quality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gmo Quality 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gmo Quality's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gmo Quality.
0.00
12/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/10/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gmo Quality on December 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gmo Quality Cyclicals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gmo Quality over 30 days. Gmo Quality is related to or competes with Fidelity New, Inverse Emerging, Ab All, Sp Midcap, Artisan Developing, Alphacentric Hedged, and Locorr Market. The fund seeks to achieve the funds investment objective by investing in companies exposed to economic cycles that GMO b... More

Gmo Quality Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gmo Quality's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gmo Quality Cyclicals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gmo Quality Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gmo Quality's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gmo Quality's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gmo Quality historical prices to predict the future Gmo Quality's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gmo Quality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7922.0123.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.0522.2723.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.7122.9324.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.6222.3524.08
Details

Gmo Quality Cyclicals Backtested Returns

Gmo Quality Cyclicals holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.13, which attests that the entity had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gmo Quality Cyclicals exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gmo Quality's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.65), standard deviation of 1.18, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.25, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Gmo Quality's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gmo Quality is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

Gmo Quality Cyclicals has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gmo Quality time series from 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024 and 26th of December 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gmo Quality Cyclicals price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Gmo Quality price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Gmo Quality Cyclicals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gmo Quality mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gmo Quality's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gmo Quality returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gmo Quality has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gmo Quality regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gmo Quality mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gmo Quality mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gmo Quality mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gmo Quality Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gmo Quality's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gmo Quality mutual fund have on its future price. Gmo Quality autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gmo Quality autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gmo Quality mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gmo Quality Cyclicals.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gmo Mutual Fund

Gmo Quality financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gmo Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gmo with respect to the benefits of owning Gmo Quality security.
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