G-III Apparel (Germany) Market Value

GI4 Stock  EUR 28.00  0.80  2.78%   
G-III Apparel's market value is the price at which a share of G-III Apparel trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of G III Apparel Group investors about its performance. G-III Apparel is trading at 28.00 as of the 2nd of December 2024. This is a 2.78 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 28.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of G III Apparel Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in G-III Apparel over a given investment horizon. Check out G-III Apparel Correlation, G-III Apparel Volatility and G-III Apparel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on G-III Apparel.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between G-III Apparel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if G-III Apparel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, G-III Apparel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

G-III Apparel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to G-III Apparel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of G-III Apparel.
0.00
10/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in G-III Apparel on October 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding G III Apparel Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in G-III Apparel over 60 days. G-III Apparel is related to or competes with Sanyo Chemical, MCEWEN MINING, AIR PRODCHEMICALS, FIREWEED METALS, NISSAN CHEMICAL, Sekisui Chemical, and ADRIATIC METALS. G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets womens and mens apparel in the United States and internationally More

G-III Apparel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure G-III Apparel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess G III Apparel Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

G-III Apparel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for G-III Apparel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as G-III Apparel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use G-III Apparel historical prices to predict the future G-III Apparel's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1728.0031.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.1026.9330.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.8928.7232.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.9728.2329.50
Details

G III Apparel Backtested Returns

G-III Apparel appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. G III Apparel holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0826, which attests that the company had a 0.0826% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for G III Apparel, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize G-III Apparel's semi deviation of 1.97, and Downside Deviation of 2.35 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, G-III Apparel holds a performance score of 6. The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.51, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, G-III Apparel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding G-III Apparel is expected to be smaller as well. Please check G-III Apparel's downside deviation, information ratio, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether G-III Apparel's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.01  

Very weak reverse predictability

G III Apparel Group has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between G-III Apparel time series from 3rd of October 2024 to 2nd of November 2024 and 2nd of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of G III Apparel price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current G-III Apparel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.01
Spearman Rank Test-0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.43

G III Apparel lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is G-III Apparel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting G-III Apparel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of G-III Apparel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that G-III Apparel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

G-III Apparel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If G-III Apparel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if G-III Apparel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in G-III Apparel stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

G-III Apparel Lagged Returns

When evaluating G-III Apparel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of G-III Apparel stock have on its future price. G-III Apparel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, G-III Apparel autocorrelation shows the relationship between G-III Apparel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in G III Apparel Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in G-III Stock

When determining whether G III Apparel offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of G-III Apparel's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of G Iii Apparel Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on G Iii Apparel Group Stock:
Check out G-III Apparel Correlation, G-III Apparel Volatility and G-III Apparel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on G-III Apparel.
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G-III Apparel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of G-III Apparel technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of G-III Apparel trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...