Gotham Defensive Long Fund Market Value

GDLFX Fund  USD 18.10  0.07  0.39%   
Gotham Defensive's market value is the price at which a share of Gotham Defensive trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gotham Defensive Long investors about its performance. Gotham Defensive is trading at 18.10 as of the 10th of January 2025; that is 0.39 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.03.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gotham Defensive Long and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gotham Defensive over a given investment horizon. Check out Gotham Defensive Correlation, Gotham Defensive Volatility and Gotham Defensive Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gotham Defensive.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gotham Defensive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gotham Defensive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gotham Defensive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gotham Defensive 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gotham Defensive's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gotham Defensive.
0.00
01/21/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/10/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gotham Defensive on January 21, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gotham Defensive Long or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gotham Defensive over 720 days. Gotham Defensive is related to or competes with Aqr Diversified, Northern Small, Davenport Small, T Rowe, Schwab Small-cap, Jhancock Diversified, and Delaware Limited. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing under normal circumstances in long and short positions o... More

Gotham Defensive Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gotham Defensive's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gotham Defensive Long upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gotham Defensive Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gotham Defensive's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gotham Defensive's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gotham Defensive historical prices to predict the future Gotham Defensive's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.3018.1018.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3918.1918.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.5318.3219.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.5718.1418.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gotham Defensive. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gotham Defensive's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gotham Defensive's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gotham Defensive Long.

Gotham Defensive Long Backtested Returns

Gotham Defensive Long holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0687, which attests that the entity had a -0.0687% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gotham Defensive Long exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gotham Defensive's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), market risk adjusted performance of (0.18), and Standard Deviation of 0.7982 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.2, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Gotham Defensive's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gotham Defensive is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.79  

Good predictability

Gotham Defensive Long has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gotham Defensive time series from 21st of January 2023 to 16th of January 2024 and 16th of January 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gotham Defensive Long price movement. The serial correlation of 0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Gotham Defensive price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.79
Spearman Rank Test0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.65

Gotham Defensive Long lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gotham Defensive mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gotham Defensive's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gotham Defensive returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gotham Defensive has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gotham Defensive regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gotham Defensive mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gotham Defensive mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gotham Defensive mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gotham Defensive Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gotham Defensive's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gotham Defensive mutual fund have on its future price. Gotham Defensive autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gotham Defensive autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gotham Defensive mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gotham Defensive Long.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gotham Mutual Fund

Gotham Defensive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gotham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gotham with respect to the benefits of owning Gotham Defensive security.
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