Transportation Portfolio Transportation Fund Market Value

FSRFX Fund  USD 112.43  0.87  0.78%   
Transportation Portfolio's market value is the price at which a share of Transportation Portfolio trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Transportation Portfolio Transportation investors about its performance. Transportation Portfolio is trading at 112.43 as of the 18th of February 2025; that is 0.78% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 111.56.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Transportation Portfolio Transportation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Transportation Portfolio over a given investment horizon. Check out Transportation Portfolio Correlation, Transportation Portfolio Volatility and Transportation Portfolio Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Transportation Portfolio.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Transportation Portfolio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Transportation Portfolio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Transportation Portfolio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Transportation Portfolio 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Transportation Portfolio's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Transportation Portfolio.
0.00
03/01/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
02/18/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Transportation Portfolio on March 1, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Transportation Portfolio Transportation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Transportation Portfolio over 720 days. Transportation Portfolio is related to or competes with Automotive Portfolio, Leisure Portfolio, Consumer Discretionary, Insurance Portfolio, and Construction And. It normally invests at least 80 percent of assets in securities of companies principally engaged in providing transporta... More

Transportation Portfolio Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Transportation Portfolio's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Transportation Portfolio Transportation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Transportation Portfolio Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Transportation Portfolio's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Transportation Portfolio's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Transportation Portfolio historical prices to predict the future Transportation Portfolio's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.30112.43113.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
111.24112.37113.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
111.18112.31113.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.24110.81113.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Transportation Portfolio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Transportation Portfolio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Transportation Portfolio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Transportation Portfolio.

Transportation Portfolio Backtested Returns

Transportation Portfolio owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0392, which indicates the fund had a -0.0392 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Transportation Portfolio Transportation exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Transportation Portfolio's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,479), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Variance of 1.26 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.53, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Transportation Portfolio's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Transportation Portfolio is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.01  

Very weak reverse predictability

Transportation Portfolio Transportation has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Transportation Portfolio time series from 1st of March 2023 to 24th of February 2024 and 24th of February 2024 to 18th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Transportation Portfolio price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Transportation Portfolio price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance15.97

Transportation Portfolio lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Transportation Portfolio mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Transportation Portfolio's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Transportation Portfolio returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Transportation Portfolio has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Transportation Portfolio regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Transportation Portfolio mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Transportation Portfolio mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Transportation Portfolio mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Transportation Portfolio Lagged Returns

When evaluating Transportation Portfolio's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Transportation Portfolio mutual fund have on its future price. Transportation Portfolio autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Transportation Portfolio autocorrelation shows the relationship between Transportation Portfolio mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Transportation Portfolio Transportation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Transportation Mutual Fund

Transportation Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transportation Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transportation with respect to the benefits of owning Transportation Portfolio security.
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