Franklin Natural Resources Fund Market Value

FRNRX Fund  USD 28.70  0.68  2.31%   
Franklin Natural's market value is the price at which a share of Franklin Natural trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Franklin Natural Resources investors about its performance. Franklin Natural is trading at 28.70 as of the 16th of March 2025; that is 2.31% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 29.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Franklin Natural Resources and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Franklin Natural over a given investment horizon. Check out Franklin Natural Correlation, Franklin Natural Volatility and Franklin Natural Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Franklin Natural.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Natural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Franklin Natural 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin Natural's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin Natural.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Franklin Natural on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin Natural Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin Natural over 90 days. Franklin Natural is related to or competes with Angel Oak, Aqr Long-short, Transamerica Short-term, Blackrock Global, and Rbc Short. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in the equity and debt securities... More

Franklin Natural Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin Natural's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin Natural Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Franklin Natural Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin Natural's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin Natural's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin Natural historical prices to predict the future Franklin Natural's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.5428.7029.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.6628.8229.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.4228.5729.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8929.2230.55
Details

Franklin Natural Res Backtested Returns

Franklin Natural Res secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which denotes the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Franklin Natural Resources exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Franklin Natural's Mean Deviation of 0.8601, coefficient of variation of (1,369), and Standard Deviation of 1.1 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0741, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Franklin Natural's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Franklin Natural is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Franklin Natural Resources has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin Natural time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin Natural Res price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Franklin Natural price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.44

Franklin Natural Res lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Franklin Natural mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin Natural's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin Natural returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin Natural has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Franklin Natural regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin Natural mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin Natural mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin Natural mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Franklin Natural Lagged Returns

When evaluating Franklin Natural's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin Natural mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin Natural autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin Natural autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin Natural mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin Natural Resources.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Natural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Natural security.
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated