Federated Short Intermediate Total Fund Market Value
| FGCSX Fund | USD 10.04 0.01 0.1% |
| Symbol | Federated |
Federated Short-intermedia 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated Short-intermedia's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated Short-intermedia.
| 06/30/2023 |
| 01/20/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Federated Short-intermedia on June 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated Short Intermediate Total or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated Short-intermedia over 570 days. Federated Short-intermedia is related to or competes with T Rowe, Ab Small, Ultranasdaq-100 Profund, Alternative Asset, Nasdaq 100, and Predex Funds. The funds overall investment strategy is to invest in a portfolio consisting primarily of U.S More
Federated Short-intermedia Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated Short-intermedia's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated Short Intermediate Total upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.1492 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.6984 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.20) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2997 |
Federated Short-intermedia Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Short-intermedia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated Short-intermedia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated Short-intermedia historical prices to predict the future Federated Short-intermedia's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.68) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federated Short-intermedia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federated Short-intermedia Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Federated Mutual Fund to be very steady. Federated Short-intermedia secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0353, which denotes the fund had a 0.0353 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Federated Short Intermediate Total, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Federated Short-intermedia's Mean Deviation of 0.1017, downside deviation of 0.1492, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2831.6 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.005%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0074, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federated Short-intermedia's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated Short-intermedia is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.79 |
Good predictability
Federated Short Intermediate Total has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated Short-intermedia time series from 30th of June 2023 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 20th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated Short-intermedia price movement. The serial correlation of 0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Federated Short-intermedia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.79 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.76 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
Federated Short-intermedia lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Federated Short-intermedia mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federated Short-intermedia's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federated Short-intermedia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federated Short-intermedia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Federated Short-intermedia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federated Short-intermedia mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federated Short-intermedia mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federated Short-intermedia mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Federated Short-intermedia Lagged Returns
When evaluating Federated Short-intermedia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federated Short-intermedia mutual fund have on its future price. Federated Short-intermedia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federated Short-intermedia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federated Short-intermedia mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federated Short Intermediate Total.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund
Federated Short-intermedia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Short-intermedia security.
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