Fairfax Financial Holdings Preferred Stock Market Value

FFH-PH Preferred Stock  CAD 21.46  0.19  0.88%   
Fairfax Financial's market value is the price at which a share of Fairfax Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fairfax Financial Holdings investors about its performance. Fairfax Financial is trading at 21.46 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 0.88 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 21.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fairfax Financial Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fairfax Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out Fairfax Financial Correlation, Fairfax Financial Volatility and Fairfax Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fairfax Financial.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Fairfax Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fairfax Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fairfax Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fairfax Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fairfax Financial's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fairfax Financial.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fairfax Financial on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fairfax Financial Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fairfax Financial over 90 days. Fairfax Financial is related to or competes with Apple, Microsoft Corp, Amazon CDR, Alphabet, Berkshire Hathaway, Broadcom, and Walmart. Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, ... More

Fairfax Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fairfax Financial's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fairfax Financial Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fairfax Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fairfax Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fairfax Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fairfax Financial historical prices to predict the future Fairfax Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.9521.4622.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2120.7222.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.0422.5624.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.8819.6822.48
Details

Fairfax Financial Backtested Returns

Fairfax Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Fairfax Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the company had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Fairfax Financial Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Fairfax Financial's Coefficient Of Variation of 590.3, mean deviation of 0.7858, and Downside Deviation of 0.9275 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Fairfax Financial holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.3, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fairfax Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fairfax Financial is likely to outperform the market. Please check Fairfax Financial's standard deviation, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Fairfax Financial's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
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Virtually no predictability

Fairfax Financial Holdings has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fairfax Financial time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 18th of October 2024 and 18th of October 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fairfax Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Fairfax Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test-0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.71

Fairfax Financial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fairfax Financial preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fairfax Financial's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fairfax Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fairfax Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fairfax Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fairfax Financial preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fairfax Financial preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fairfax Financial preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fairfax Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fairfax Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fairfax Financial preferred stock have on its future price. Fairfax Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fairfax Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fairfax Financial preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fairfax Financial Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Fairfax Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Fairfax Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fairfax Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Fairfax Preferred Stock

  0.72JPM JPMorgan ChasePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Fairfax Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Fairfax Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Fairfax Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Fairfax Financial Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Fairfax Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Fairfax Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Fairfax Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Fairfax Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Fairfax Preferred Stock

Fairfax Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fairfax Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fairfax with respect to the benefits of owning Fairfax Financial security.