Fortress Income (South Africa) Market Value

FFB Stock   2,025  15.00  0.74%   
Fortress Income's market value is the price at which a share of Fortress Income trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fortress Income investors about its performance. Fortress Income is trading at 2025.00 as of the 24th of December 2024, a 0.74 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2005.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fortress Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fortress Income over a given investment horizon. Check out Fortress Income Correlation, Fortress Income Volatility and Fortress Income Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fortress Income.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortress Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortress Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fortress Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fortress Income 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fortress Income's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fortress Income.
0.00
01/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fortress Income on January 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fortress Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fortress Income over 720 days. Fortress Income is related to or competes with Growthpoint Properties, Emira Property, Dipula Income, Octodec, Oasis Crescent, and Safari Investments. More

Fortress Income Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fortress Income's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fortress Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fortress Income Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fortress Income's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fortress Income's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fortress Income historical prices to predict the future Fortress Income's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,0392,0402,041
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,9041,9052,244
Details

Fortress Income Backtested Returns

Fortress Income secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0238, which denotes the company had a -0.0238% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fortress Income exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fortress Income's Downside Deviation of 1.33, mean deviation of 0.9974, and Coefficient Of Variation of 7871.27 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.1, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fortress Income are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fortress Income is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Fortress Income has a negative expected return of -0.0286%. Please make sure to confirm Fortress Income's sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if Fortress Income performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.69  

Good predictability

Fortress Income has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fortress Income time series from 4th of January 2023 to 30th of December 2023 and 30th of December 2023 to 24th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fortress Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Fortress Income price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance165.5 K

Fortress Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fortress Income stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fortress Income's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fortress Income returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fortress Income has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fortress Income regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fortress Income stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fortress Income stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fortress Income stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fortress Income Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fortress Income's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fortress Income stock have on its future price. Fortress Income autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fortress Income autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fortress Income stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fortress Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fortress Stock

Fortress Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fortress Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fortress with respect to the benefits of owning Fortress Income security.