Elron Electronic (Israel) Market Value

ELRN Stock  ILS 435.10  5.10  1.16%   
Elron Electronic's market value is the price at which a share of Elron Electronic trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Elron Electronic Industries investors about its performance. Elron Electronic is trading at 435.10 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 1.16 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 440.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Elron Electronic Industries and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Elron Electronic over a given investment horizon. Check out Elron Electronic Correlation, Elron Electronic Volatility and Elron Electronic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Elron Electronic.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Elron Electronic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Elron Electronic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Elron Electronic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Elron Electronic 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Elron Electronic's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Elron Electronic.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Elron Electronic on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Elron Electronic Industries or generate 0.0% return on investment in Elron Electronic over 720 days. Elron Electronic is related to or competes with Elbit Systems, Discount Investment, Clal Insurance, AudioCodes, and Shufersal. Elron Electronic Industries Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides technology products in the medical devices and cybe... More

Elron Electronic Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Elron Electronic's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Elron Electronic Industries upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Elron Electronic Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Elron Electronic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Elron Electronic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Elron Electronic historical prices to predict the future Elron Electronic's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
429.80435.10440.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
347.56352.86478.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
436.18441.49446.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
309.30395.15481.00
Details

Elron Electronic Ind Backtested Returns

Elron Electronic appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Elron Electronic Ind secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0437, which denotes the company had a 0.0437% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Elron Electronic Industries, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Elron Electronic's Downside Deviation of 4.22, mean deviation of 2.39, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2785.7 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Elron Electronic holds a performance score of 3. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Elron Electronic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Elron Electronic is likely to outperform the market. Please check Elron Electronic's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Elron Electronic's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Elron Electronic Industries has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Elron Electronic time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Elron Electronic Ind price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Elron Electronic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2345.62

Elron Electronic Ind lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Elron Electronic stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Elron Electronic's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Elron Electronic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Elron Electronic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Elron Electronic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Elron Electronic stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Elron Electronic stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Elron Electronic stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Elron Electronic Lagged Returns

When evaluating Elron Electronic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Elron Electronic stock have on its future price. Elron Electronic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Elron Electronic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Elron Electronic stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Elron Electronic Industries.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Elron Stock

Elron Electronic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elron Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elron with respect to the benefits of owning Elron Electronic security.