Companhia Paranaense (Germany) Market Value

ELPA Stock  EUR 1.65  0.10  6.45%   
Companhia Paranaense's market value is the price at which a share of Companhia Paranaense trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Companhia Paranaense de investors about its performance. Companhia Paranaense is trading at 1.65 as of the 17th of February 2025. This is a 6.45 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Companhia Paranaense de and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Companhia Paranaense over a given investment horizon. Check out Companhia Paranaense Correlation, Companhia Paranaense Volatility and Companhia Paranaense Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Companhia Paranaense.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Companhia Paranaense's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Companhia Paranaense is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Companhia Paranaense's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Companhia Paranaense 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Companhia Paranaense's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Companhia Paranaense.
0.00
08/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
02/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Companhia Paranaense on August 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Companhia Paranaense de or generate 0.0% return on investment in Companhia Paranaense over 180 days. Companhia Paranaense is related to or competes with DAIDO METAL, DAIRY FARM, Air Transport, SIERRA METALS, Nufarm, ADRIATIC METALS, and Sumitomo Mitsui. Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity t... More

Companhia Paranaense Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Companhia Paranaense's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Companhia Paranaense de upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Companhia Paranaense Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Companhia Paranaense's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Companhia Paranaense's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Companhia Paranaense historical prices to predict the future Companhia Paranaense's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.657.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.536.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.596.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.331.501.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Companhia Paranaense. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Companhia Paranaense's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Companhia Paranaense's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Companhia Paranaense.

Companhia Paranaense Backtested Returns

Companhia Paranaense appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Companhia Paranaense secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the company had a 0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Companhia Paranaense's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.63% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Companhia Paranaense's Mean Deviation of 3.15, downside deviation of 4.95, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0609 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Companhia Paranaense holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.83, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Companhia Paranaense will likely underperform. Please check Companhia Paranaense's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Companhia Paranaense's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

Companhia Paranaense de has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Companhia Paranaense time series from 21st of August 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 17th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Companhia Paranaense price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Companhia Paranaense price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Companhia Paranaense lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Companhia Paranaense stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Companhia Paranaense's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Companhia Paranaense returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Companhia Paranaense has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Companhia Paranaense regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Companhia Paranaense stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Companhia Paranaense stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Companhia Paranaense stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Companhia Paranaense Lagged Returns

When evaluating Companhia Paranaense's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Companhia Paranaense stock have on its future price. Companhia Paranaense autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Companhia Paranaense autocorrelation shows the relationship between Companhia Paranaense stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Companhia Paranaense de.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Companhia Stock

When determining whether Companhia Paranaense offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Companhia Paranaense's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Companhia Paranaense De Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Companhia Paranaense De Stock:
Check out Companhia Paranaense Correlation, Companhia Paranaense Volatility and Companhia Paranaense Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Companhia Paranaense.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Companhia Paranaense technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Companhia Paranaense technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Companhia Paranaense trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...