Elmos Semiconductor (Germany) Market Value
| ELG Stock | 70.00 0.20 0.29% |
| Symbol | Elmos |
Elmos Semiconductor 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Elmos Semiconductor's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Elmos Semiconductor.
| 03/10/2023 |
| 02/27/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Elmos Semiconductor on March 10, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Elmos Semiconductor SE or generate 0.0% return on investment in Elmos Semiconductor over 720 days. Elmos Semiconductor is related to or competes with Perdoceo Education, Aegean Airlines, EMBARK EDUCATION, Southwest Airlines, and SOUTHWEST AIRLINES. More
Elmos Semiconductor Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Elmos Semiconductor's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Elmos Semiconductor SE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0855 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.49 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.6 |
Elmos Semiconductor Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Elmos Semiconductor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Elmos Semiconductor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Elmos Semiconductor historical prices to predict the future Elmos Semiconductor's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.071 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2111 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2364 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0796 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.52) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Elmos Semiconductor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Elmos Semiconductor Backtested Returns
Elmos Semiconductor appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Elmos Semiconductor secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0884, which denotes the company had a 0.0884 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Elmos Semiconductor SE, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Elmos Semiconductor's Mean Deviation of 1.82, coefficient of variation of 1151.74, and Downside Deviation of 2.77 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Elmos Semiconductor holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.41, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Elmos Semiconductor are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Elmos Semiconductor is likely to outperform the market. Please check Elmos Semiconductor's sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Elmos Semiconductor's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.08 |
Virtually no predictability
Elmos Semiconductor SE has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Elmos Semiconductor time series from 10th of March 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Elmos Semiconductor price movement. The serial correlation of 0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Elmos Semiconductor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.19 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 45.95 |
Elmos Semiconductor lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Elmos Semiconductor stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Elmos Semiconductor's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Elmos Semiconductor returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Elmos Semiconductor has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Elmos Semiconductor regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Elmos Semiconductor stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Elmos Semiconductor stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Elmos Semiconductor stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Elmos Semiconductor Lagged Returns
When evaluating Elmos Semiconductor's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Elmos Semiconductor stock have on its future price. Elmos Semiconductor autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Elmos Semiconductor autocorrelation shows the relationship between Elmos Semiconductor stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Elmos Semiconductor SE.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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When running Elmos Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure Elmos Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elmos Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of Elmos Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elmos Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elmos Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elmos Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.