Elanders (Sweden) Market Value

ELAN-B Stock  SEK 91.30  1.40  1.51%   
Elanders' market value is the price at which a share of Elanders trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Elanders AB investors about its performance. Elanders is trading at 91.30 as of the 12th of December 2024, a 1.51% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 92.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Elanders AB and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Elanders over a given investment horizon. Check out Elanders Correlation, Elanders Volatility and Elanders Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Elanders.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Elanders' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Elanders is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Elanders' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Elanders 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Elanders' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Elanders.
0.00
12/18/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Elanders on December 18, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Elanders AB or generate 0.0% return on investment in Elanders over 360 days. Elanders is related to or competes with MAG Interactive, Kambi Group, Hexatronic Group, Integrum, and Awardit AB. Elanders AB , through its subsidiaries, provides supply chain management, print and packaging, and e-commerce solutions More

Elanders Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Elanders' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Elanders AB upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Elanders Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Elanders' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Elanders' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Elanders historical prices to predict the future Elanders' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.3291.3093.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.3677.34100.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.5599.53101.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.4190.7595.09
Details

Elanders AB Backtested Returns

Elanders AB secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0185, which denotes the company had a -0.0185% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Elanders AB exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Elanders' Mean Deviation of 1.31, standard deviation of 1.97, and Coefficient Of Variation of (25,603) to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.17, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Elanders are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Elanders is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Elanders AB has a negative expected return of -0.0366%. Please make sure to confirm Elanders' market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Elanders AB performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

Elanders AB has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Elanders time series from 18th of December 2023 to 15th of June 2024 and 15th of June 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Elanders AB price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Elanders price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance22.73

Elanders AB lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Elanders stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Elanders' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Elanders returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Elanders has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Elanders regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Elanders stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Elanders stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Elanders stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Elanders Lagged Returns

When evaluating Elanders' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Elanders stock have on its future price. Elanders autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Elanders autocorrelation shows the relationship between Elanders stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Elanders AB.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Elanders Stock

Elanders financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elanders Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elanders with respect to the benefits of owning Elanders security.