TotalEnergies (France) Market Value
| EC Stock | EUR 172.00 4.00 2.27% |
| Symbol | TotalEnergies |
TotalEnergies 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TotalEnergies' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TotalEnergies.
| 03/16/2023 |
| 03/05/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in TotalEnergies on March 16, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TotalEnergies EP Gabon or generate 0.0% return on investment in TotalEnergies over 720 days. TotalEnergies is related to or competes with Etablissements Maurel, Esso SAF, Mtropole Tlvision, Rubis SCA, and Vallourec. Total Gabon engages in the mining, exploration, and production of crude oil in Gabon More
TotalEnergies Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TotalEnergies' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TotalEnergies EP Gabon upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1811 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.81 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.71) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.4 |
TotalEnergies Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TotalEnergies' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TotalEnergies' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TotalEnergies historical prices to predict the future TotalEnergies' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1296 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5337 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.9361 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4331 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (9.32) |
TotalEnergies EP Gabon Backtested Returns
TotalEnergies appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. TotalEnergies EP Gabon owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.17, which indicates the firm had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting TotalEnergies' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.62% is justified by implied risk. Please review TotalEnergies' Semi Deviation of 0.7415, coefficient of variation of 631.03, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1296 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, TotalEnergies holds a performance score of 13. The entity has a beta of -0.0578, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning TotalEnergies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, TotalEnergies is likely to outperform the market. Please check TotalEnergies' sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether TotalEnergies' existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.39 |
Poor reverse predictability
TotalEnergies EP Gabon has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TotalEnergies time series from 16th of March 2023 to 10th of March 2024 and 10th of March 2024 to 5th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TotalEnergies EP Gabon price movement. The serial correlation of -0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current TotalEnergies price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.39 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 629.13 |
TotalEnergies EP Gabon lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is TotalEnergies stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TotalEnergies' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TotalEnergies returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TotalEnergies has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
TotalEnergies regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TotalEnergies stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TotalEnergies stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TotalEnergies stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
TotalEnergies Lagged Returns
When evaluating TotalEnergies' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TotalEnergies stock have on its future price. TotalEnergies autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TotalEnergies autocorrelation shows the relationship between TotalEnergies stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TotalEnergies EP Gabon.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in TotalEnergies Stock
TotalEnergies financial ratios help investors to determine whether TotalEnergies Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TotalEnergies with respect to the benefits of owning TotalEnergies security.