Arrow Dwa Balanced Fund Market Value

DWAFX Fund  USD 11.62  0.11  0.96%   
Arrow Dwa's market value is the price at which a share of Arrow Dwa trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Arrow Dwa Balanced investors about its performance. Arrow Dwa is trading at 11.62 as of the 25th of December 2024; that is 0.96 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Arrow Dwa Balanced and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Arrow Dwa over a given investment horizon. Check out Arrow Dwa Correlation, Arrow Dwa Volatility and Arrow Dwa Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Arrow Dwa.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Arrow Dwa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arrow Dwa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arrow Dwa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Arrow Dwa 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arrow Dwa's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arrow Dwa.
0.00
11/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Arrow Dwa on November 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arrow Dwa Balanced or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arrow Dwa over 30 days. Arrow Dwa is related to or competes with Arrow Managed, Arrow Managed, Arrow Managed, Arrow Dwa, Arrow Dwa, and Arrow Dwa. The fund primarily invests, either directly or indirectly through investments in exchange traded funds or other investme... More

Arrow Dwa Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arrow Dwa's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arrow Dwa Balanced upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Arrow Dwa Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arrow Dwa's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arrow Dwa's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arrow Dwa historical prices to predict the future Arrow Dwa's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0411.6212.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0611.6412.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arrow Dwa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arrow Dwa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arrow Dwa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Arrow Dwa Balanced.

Arrow Dwa Balanced Backtested Returns

Arrow Dwa Balanced secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0836, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0836% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Arrow Dwa Balanced exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Arrow Dwa's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), standard deviation of 0.575, and Mean Deviation of 0.4301 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.48, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Arrow Dwa's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Arrow Dwa is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.75  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Arrow Dwa Balanced has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arrow Dwa time series from 25th of November 2024 to 10th of December 2024 and 10th of December 2024 to 25th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arrow Dwa Balanced price movement. The serial correlation of -0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Arrow Dwa price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.75
Spearman Rank Test-0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Arrow Dwa Balanced lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Arrow Dwa mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Arrow Dwa's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Arrow Dwa returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Arrow Dwa has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Arrow Dwa regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Arrow Dwa mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Arrow Dwa mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Arrow Dwa mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Arrow Dwa Lagged Returns

When evaluating Arrow Dwa's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Arrow Dwa mutual fund have on its future price. Arrow Dwa autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Arrow Dwa autocorrelation shows the relationship between Arrow Dwa mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Arrow Dwa Balanced.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Arrow Mutual Fund

Arrow Dwa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arrow Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arrow with respect to the benefits of owning Arrow Dwa security.
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