Dolly Varden (Germany) Market Value
| DVQ1 Stock | EUR 0.61 0.02 3.17% |
| Symbol | Dolly |
Dolly Varden 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dolly Varden's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dolly Varden.
| 02/02/2023 |
| 01/22/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Dolly Varden on February 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dolly Varden Silver or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dolly Varden over 720 days. Dolly Varden is related to or competes with Pan American, First Majestic, MAG Silver, Silvercorp Metals, Endeavour Silver, Americas Gold, and Santacruz Silver. Dolly Varden Silver Corporation engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and evaluation of mineral properti... More
Dolly Varden Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dolly Varden's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dolly Varden Silver upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 36.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.43) | |||
| Potential Upside | 10.53 |
Dolly Varden Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dolly Varden's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dolly Varden's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dolly Varden historical prices to predict the future Dolly Varden's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0028 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.08) |
Dolly Varden Silver Backtested Returns
Dolly Varden Silver secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0486, which denotes the company had a -0.0486 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Dolly Varden Silver exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dolly Varden's Variance of 49.35, standard deviation of 7.02, and Mean Deviation of 5.33 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.73, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Dolly Varden's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dolly Varden is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Dolly Varden Silver has a negative expected return of -0.34%. Please make sure to confirm Dolly Varden's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if Dolly Varden Silver performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.47 |
Modest reverse predictability
Dolly Varden Silver has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dolly Varden time series from 2nd of February 2023 to 28th of January 2024 and 28th of January 2024 to 22nd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dolly Varden Silver price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Dolly Varden price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.21 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Dolly Varden Silver lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Dolly Varden stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dolly Varden's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dolly Varden returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dolly Varden has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Dolly Varden regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dolly Varden stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dolly Varden stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dolly Varden stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Dolly Varden Lagged Returns
When evaluating Dolly Varden's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dolly Varden stock have on its future price. Dolly Varden autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dolly Varden autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dolly Varden stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dolly Varden Silver.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Dolly Stock
Dolly Varden financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dolly Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dolly with respect to the benefits of owning Dolly Varden security.