Dassault Aviation Sa Stock Market Value

DUAVF Stock  USD 206.20  12.20  6.29%   
Dassault Aviation's market value is the price at which a share of Dassault Aviation trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dassault Aviation SA investors about its performance. Dassault Aviation is trading at 206.20 as of the 28th of December 2024. This is a 6.29% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 192.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dassault Aviation SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dassault Aviation over a given investment horizon. Check out Dassault Aviation Correlation, Dassault Aviation Volatility and Dassault Aviation Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dassault Aviation.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Dassault Aviation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dassault Aviation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dassault Aviation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dassault Aviation 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dassault Aviation's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dassault Aviation.
0.00
11/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dassault Aviation on November 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dassault Aviation SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dassault Aviation over 30 days. Dassault Aviation is related to or competes with Airbus Group, Safran SA, Embraer SA, BAE Systems, AAR Corp, BAE Systems, and Huntington Ingalls. Dassault Aviation Socit anonyme designs and builds military aircraft, business jets, and space systems in France, the Am... More

Dassault Aviation Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dassault Aviation's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dassault Aviation SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dassault Aviation Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dassault Aviation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dassault Aviation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dassault Aviation historical prices to predict the future Dassault Aviation's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dassault Aviation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
203.60206.20208.80
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
168.21170.81226.82
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Dassault Aviation Backtested Returns

At this point, Dassault Aviation is very steady. Dassault Aviation secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0206, which denotes the company had a 0.0206% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Dassault Aviation SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Dassault Aviation's Downside Deviation of 3.73, mean deviation of 1.29, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4919.35 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0537%. Dassault Aviation has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0175, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dassault Aviation's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dassault Aviation is expected to be smaller as well. Dassault Aviation right now shows a risk of 2.6%. Please confirm Dassault Aviation semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Dassault Aviation will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.69  

Very good reverse predictability

Dassault Aviation SA has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dassault Aviation time series from 28th of November 2024 to 13th of December 2024 and 13th of December 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dassault Aviation price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Dassault Aviation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance25.38

Dassault Aviation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dassault Aviation pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dassault Aviation's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dassault Aviation returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dassault Aviation has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Dassault Aviation regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dassault Aviation pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dassault Aviation pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dassault Aviation pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dassault Aviation Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dassault Aviation's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dassault Aviation pink sheet have on its future price. Dassault Aviation autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dassault Aviation autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dassault Aviation pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dassault Aviation SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dassault Pink Sheet

Dassault Aviation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dassault Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dassault with respect to the benefits of owning Dassault Aviation security.