Dreyfus Research Growth Fund Market Value

DREQX Fund  USD 20.90  0.31  1.46%   
Dreyfus Research's market value is the price at which a share of Dreyfus Research trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dreyfus Research Growth investors about its performance. Dreyfus Research is trading at 20.90 as of the 21st of December 2024; that is 1.46% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 21.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dreyfus Research Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dreyfus Research over a given investment horizon. Check out Dreyfus Research Correlation, Dreyfus Research Volatility and Dreyfus Research Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dreyfus Research.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dreyfus Research's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dreyfus Research is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dreyfus Research's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dreyfus Research 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dreyfus Research's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dreyfus Research.
0.00
11/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dreyfus Research on November 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dreyfus Research Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dreyfus Research over 30 days. Dreyfus Research is related to or competes with Dreyfusstandish Global, Dreyfusstandish Global, Dreyfus High, Dreyfus High, Dreyfus High, Dreyfus New, and Dreyfus International. To pursue its goals, the fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment... More

Dreyfus Research Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dreyfus Research's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dreyfus Research Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dreyfus Research Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus Research's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dreyfus Research's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dreyfus Research historical prices to predict the future Dreyfus Research's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7920.9022.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8820.9922.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.4020.5121.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.8921.7422.60
Details

Dreyfus Research Growth Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Dreyfus Mutual Fund to be very steady. Dreyfus Research Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0595, which denotes the fund had a 0.0595% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Dreyfus Research Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Dreyfus Research's Downside Deviation of 1.39, mean deviation of 0.8095, and Semi Deviation of 1.22 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0671%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dreyfus Research's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dreyfus Research is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Dreyfus Research Growth has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dreyfus Research time series from 21st of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dreyfus Research Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Dreyfus Research price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

Dreyfus Research Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dreyfus Research mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dreyfus Research's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dreyfus Research returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dreyfus Research has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus Research regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dreyfus Research mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dreyfus Research mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dreyfus Research mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus Research Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dreyfus Research's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dreyfus Research mutual fund have on its future price. Dreyfus Research autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dreyfus Research autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dreyfus Research mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dreyfus Research Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund

Dreyfus Research financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus Research security.
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