Dreyfus New Jersey Fund Market Value
| DNJYX Fund | USD 11.78 0.04 0.34% |
| Symbol | Dreyfus |
Dreyfus New 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dreyfus New's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dreyfus New.
| 01/02/2023 |
| 12/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Dreyfus New on January 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dreyfus New Jersey or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dreyfus New over 720 days. Dreyfus New is related to or competes with Dreyfus High, Dreyfusthe Boston, Dreyfus International, Dreyfus International, Dreyfus International, Dreyfus International, and Dreyfus Short. To pursue its goal, the fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment ... More
Dreyfus New Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dreyfus New's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dreyfus New Jersey upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3407 |
Dreyfus New Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus New's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dreyfus New's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dreyfus New historical prices to predict the future Dreyfus New's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6201 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dreyfus New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dreyfus New Jersey Backtested Returns
Dreyfus New Jersey secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0731, which denotes the fund had a -0.0731% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Dreyfus New Jersey exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dreyfus New's Standard Deviation of 0.2936, mean deviation of 0.1967, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,467) to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0484, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dreyfus New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dreyfus New is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.19 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Dreyfus New Jersey has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dreyfus New time series from 2nd of January 2023 to 28th of December 2023 and 28th of December 2023 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dreyfus New Jersey price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Dreyfus New price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.01 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Dreyfus New Jersey lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Dreyfus New mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dreyfus New's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dreyfus New returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dreyfus New has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Dreyfus New regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dreyfus New mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dreyfus New mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dreyfus New mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Dreyfus New Lagged Returns
When evaluating Dreyfus New's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dreyfus New mutual fund have on its future price. Dreyfus New autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dreyfus New autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dreyfus New mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dreyfus New Jersey.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund
Dreyfus New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus New security.
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