Dongfeng Group Stock Market Value

DNFGF Stock  USD 0.53  0.03  6.00%   
Dongfeng's market value is the price at which a share of Dongfeng trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dongfeng Group investors about its performance. Dongfeng is trading at 0.53 as of the 18th of December 2024. This is a 6.00% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.53.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dongfeng Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dongfeng over a given investment horizon. Check out Dongfeng Correlation, Dongfeng Volatility and Dongfeng Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dongfeng.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Dongfeng's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dongfeng is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dongfeng's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dongfeng 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dongfeng's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dongfeng.
0.00
11/18/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dongfeng on November 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dongfeng Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dongfeng over 30 days. Dongfeng is related to or competes with Xpeng, Nio, Lucid, BYD Co, Rivian Automotive, Ford, and Toyota. Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited manufactures and sells commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles, and engines and par... More

Dongfeng Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dongfeng's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dongfeng Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dongfeng Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dongfeng's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dongfeng's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dongfeng historical prices to predict the future Dongfeng's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.537.56
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.407.43
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongfeng. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongfeng's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongfeng's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongfeng Group.

Dongfeng Group Backtested Returns

Dongfeng is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Dongfeng Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which denotes the company had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze and collect data for twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.55% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Dongfeng Coefficient Of Variation of 465.88, downside deviation of 7.01, and Mean Deviation of 3.57 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Dongfeng holds a performance score of 17 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.27, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dongfeng are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dongfeng is likely to outperform the market. Use Dongfeng downside variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to analyze future returns on Dongfeng.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.71  

Good predictability

Dongfeng Group has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dongfeng time series from 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024 and 3rd of December 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dongfeng Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Dongfeng price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.71
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Dongfeng Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dongfeng pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dongfeng's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dongfeng returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dongfeng has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dongfeng regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dongfeng pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dongfeng pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dongfeng pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dongfeng Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dongfeng's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dongfeng pink sheet have on its future price. Dongfeng autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dongfeng autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dongfeng pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dongfeng Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Dongfeng Pink Sheet

Dongfeng financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongfeng Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongfeng with respect to the benefits of owning Dongfeng security.