Dollar Tree Stock Market Value
| DLTR Stock | USD 76.22 0.91 1.21% |
| Symbol | Dollar |
Dollar Tree Price To Book Ratio
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dollar Tree. If investors know Dollar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dollar Tree listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.115 | Earnings Share (4.70) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.035 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Dollar Tree is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dollar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dollar Tree's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dollar Tree's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dollar Tree's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dollar Tree's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dollar Tree's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dollar Tree is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dollar Tree's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Dollar Tree 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dollar Tree's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dollar Tree.
| 01/27/2025 |
| 02/26/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Dollar Tree on January 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dollar Tree or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dollar Tree over 30 days. Dollar Tree is related to or competes with BJs Wholesale, Walmart, Target, Dollar General, and Costco Wholesale. The Dollar Tree segment offers merchandise at the fixed price of 1.25 More
Dollar Tree Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dollar Tree's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dollar Tree upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0992 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.14 |
Dollar Tree Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dollar Tree's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dollar Tree's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dollar Tree historical prices to predict the future Dollar Tree's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0846 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2172 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2044 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1189 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6314 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dollar Tree's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dollar Tree Backtested Returns
Currently, Dollar Tree is very steady. Dollar Tree secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0669, which denotes the company had a 0.0669 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Dollar Tree, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Dollar Tree's Downside Deviation of 1.8, mean deviation of 1.7, and Coefficient Of Variation of 941.76 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Dollar Tree has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.35, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Dollar Tree's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dollar Tree is expected to be smaller as well. Dollar Tree right now shows a risk of 2.03%. Please confirm Dollar Tree treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day median price , to decide if Dollar Tree will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.59 |
Good reverse predictability
Dollar Tree has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dollar Tree time series from 27th of January 2025 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 26th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dollar Tree price movement. The serial correlation of -0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Dollar Tree price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.59 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.38 |
Dollar Tree lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Dollar Tree stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dollar Tree's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dollar Tree returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dollar Tree has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Dollar Tree regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dollar Tree stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dollar Tree stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dollar Tree stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Dollar Tree Lagged Returns
When evaluating Dollar Tree's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dollar Tree stock have on its future price. Dollar Tree autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dollar Tree autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dollar Tree stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dollar Tree.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Additional Tools for Dollar Stock Analysis
When running Dollar Tree's price analysis, check to measure Dollar Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.