Dollar Tree (Mexico) Market Value

DLTR Stock  MXN 1,453  103.00  7.63%   
Dollar Tree's market value is the price at which a share of Dollar Tree trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dollar Tree investors about its performance. Dollar Tree is trading at 1453.00 as of the 23rd of December 2024; that is 7.63 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1350.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dollar Tree and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dollar Tree over a given investment horizon. Check out Dollar Tree Correlation, Dollar Tree Volatility and Dollar Tree Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dollar Tree.
For more information on how to buy Dollar Stock please use our How to Invest in Dollar Tree guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dollar Tree's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dollar Tree is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dollar Tree's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dollar Tree 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dollar Tree's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dollar Tree.
0.00
11/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dollar Tree on November 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dollar Tree or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dollar Tree over 30 days. Dollar Tree is related to or competes with Walmart, Target, Burlington Stores. It operates through two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar More

Dollar Tree Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dollar Tree's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dollar Tree upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dollar Tree Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dollar Tree's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dollar Tree's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dollar Tree historical prices to predict the future Dollar Tree's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4511,4531,455
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1891,1911,598
Details

Dollar Tree Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Dollar Stock to be very steady. Dollar Tree secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0487, which denotes the company had a 0.0487% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Dollar Tree, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Dollar Tree's Mean Deviation of 1.27, coefficient of variation of 1896.78, and Downside Deviation of 4.22 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. Dollar Tree has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0869, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dollar Tree's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dollar Tree is expected to be smaller as well. Dollar Tree right now shows a risk of 2.21%. Please confirm Dollar Tree jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if Dollar Tree will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.6  

Good reverse predictability

Dollar Tree has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dollar Tree time series from 23rd of November 2024 to 8th of December 2024 and 8th of December 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dollar Tree price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Dollar Tree price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.6
Spearman Rank Test-0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3425.29

Dollar Tree lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dollar Tree stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dollar Tree's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dollar Tree returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dollar Tree has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dollar Tree regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dollar Tree stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dollar Tree stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dollar Tree stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dollar Tree Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dollar Tree's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dollar Tree stock have on its future price. Dollar Tree autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dollar Tree autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dollar Tree stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dollar Tree.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Dollar Stock Analysis

When running Dollar Tree's price analysis, check to measure Dollar Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.