Dreyfus Large Cap Fund Market Value

DLACX Fund  USD 19.56  0.13  0.66%   
Dreyfus Large's market value is the price at which a share of Dreyfus Large trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dreyfus Large Cap investors about its performance. Dreyfus Large is trading at 19.56 as of the 15th of December 2024; that is 0.66% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.69.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dreyfus Large Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dreyfus Large over a given investment horizon. Check out Dreyfus Large Correlation, Dreyfus Large Volatility and Dreyfus Large Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dreyfus Large.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dreyfus Large's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dreyfus Large is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dreyfus Large's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dreyfus Large 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dreyfus Large's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dreyfus Large.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dreyfus Large on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dreyfus Large Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dreyfus Large over 30 days. Dreyfus Large is related to or competes with Franklin Mutual, Alliancebernstein, Investec Global, Ab Global, Ab Global, and 361 Global. To pursue its goal, the fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment ... More

Dreyfus Large Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dreyfus Large's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dreyfus Large Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dreyfus Large Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus Large's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dreyfus Large's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dreyfus Large historical prices to predict the future Dreyfus Large's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dreyfus Large's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.8719.5620.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4620.1520.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.7319.4220.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0719.5720.08
Details

Dreyfus Large Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Dreyfus Mutual Fund to be very steady. Dreyfus Large Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the fund had a 0.16% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Dreyfus Large Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Dreyfus Large's Mean Deviation of 0.4882, downside deviation of 0.7015, and Semi Deviation of 0.4082 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.78, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Dreyfus Large's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dreyfus Large is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

Dreyfus Large Cap has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dreyfus Large time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dreyfus Large Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Dreyfus Large price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Dreyfus Large Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dreyfus Large mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dreyfus Large's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dreyfus Large returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dreyfus Large has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus Large regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dreyfus Large mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dreyfus Large mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dreyfus Large mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus Large Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dreyfus Large's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dreyfus Large mutual fund have on its future price. Dreyfus Large autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dreyfus Large autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dreyfus Large mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dreyfus Large Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund

Dreyfus Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus Large security.
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