Dhanuka Agritech (India) Market Value

DHANUKA Stock   1,600  4.85  0.30%   
Dhanuka Agritech's market value is the price at which a share of Dhanuka Agritech trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dhanuka Agritech Limited investors about its performance. Dhanuka Agritech is trading at 1600.30 as of the 17th of December 2024, a 0.3 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1605.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dhanuka Agritech Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dhanuka Agritech over a given investment horizon. Check out Dhanuka Agritech Correlation, Dhanuka Agritech Volatility and Dhanuka Agritech Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dhanuka Agritech.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Dhanuka Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dhanuka Agritech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dhanuka Agritech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dhanuka Agritech 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dhanuka Agritech's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dhanuka Agritech.
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11/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/17/2024
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If you would invest  0.00  in Dhanuka Agritech on November 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dhanuka Agritech Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dhanuka Agritech over 30 days. Dhanuka Agritech is related to or competes with Future Retail, Silgo Retail, Kothari Petrochemicals, Sanginita Chemicals, Indo Borax, Baazar Style, and Garuda Construction. Dhanuka Agritech is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Dhanuka Agritech Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dhanuka Agritech's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dhanuka Agritech Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dhanuka Agritech Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dhanuka Agritech's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dhanuka Agritech's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dhanuka Agritech historical prices to predict the future Dhanuka Agritech's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dhanuka Agritech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4401,6041,607
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,5501,5521,760
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.836.316.95
Details

Dhanuka Agritech Backtested Returns

At this point, Dhanuka Agritech is very steady. Dhanuka Agritech secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0345, which denotes the company had a 0.0345% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Dhanuka Agritech Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Dhanuka Agritech's Mean Deviation of 1.59, semi deviation of 1.99, and Downside Deviation of 2.08 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0776%. Dhanuka Agritech has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.82, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Dhanuka Agritech's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dhanuka Agritech is expected to be smaller as well. Dhanuka Agritech right now shows a risk of 2.25%. Please confirm Dhanuka Agritech coefficient of variation, semi variance, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Dhanuka Agritech will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.59  

Modest predictability

Dhanuka Agritech Limited has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dhanuka Agritech time series from 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024 and 2nd of December 2024 to 17th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dhanuka Agritech price movement. The serial correlation of 0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Dhanuka Agritech price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.59
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1188.18

Dhanuka Agritech lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dhanuka Agritech stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dhanuka Agritech's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dhanuka Agritech returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dhanuka Agritech has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dhanuka Agritech regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dhanuka Agritech stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dhanuka Agritech stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dhanuka Agritech stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dhanuka Agritech Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dhanuka Agritech's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dhanuka Agritech stock have on its future price. Dhanuka Agritech autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dhanuka Agritech autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dhanuka Agritech stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dhanuka Agritech Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dhanuka Stock

Dhanuka Agritech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dhanuka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dhanuka with respect to the benefits of owning Dhanuka Agritech security.