Xtrackers MSCI (Germany) Market Value

DBX4 Etf  EUR 33.22  0.09  0.27%   
Xtrackers MSCI's market value is the price at which a share of Xtrackers MSCI trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Xtrackers MSCI investors about its performance. Xtrackers MSCI is trading at 33.22 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 0.27 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 32.85.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Xtrackers MSCI and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Xtrackers MSCI over a given investment horizon. Check out Xtrackers MSCI Correlation, Xtrackers MSCI Volatility and Xtrackers MSCI Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Xtrackers MSCI.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Xtrackers MSCI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xtrackers MSCI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xtrackers MSCI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Xtrackers MSCI 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xtrackers MSCI's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xtrackers MSCI.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 26 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Xtrackers MSCI on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xtrackers MSCI or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xtrackers MSCI over 390 days. Xtrackers MSCI is related to or competes with UBS Fund, Xtrackers, Xtrackers Nikkei, IShares VII, SPDR Gold, Vanguard Funds, and IShares Nikkei. The aim is for the investment to reflect the performance of the MSCI EM EMEA Low Carbon SRI Leaders Index which is desig... More

Xtrackers MSCI Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xtrackers MSCI's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xtrackers MSCI upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Xtrackers MSCI Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xtrackers MSCI's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xtrackers MSCI's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xtrackers MSCI historical prices to predict the future Xtrackers MSCI's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.5033.3134.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.2933.1033.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.6433.4534.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.8333.0034.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xtrackers MSCI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xtrackers MSCI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xtrackers MSCI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xtrackers MSCI.

Xtrackers MSCI Backtested Returns

At this point, Xtrackers MSCI is very steady. Xtrackers MSCI shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which attests that the etf had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Xtrackers MSCI, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please check out Xtrackers MSCI's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.17, mean deviation of 0.656, and Downside Deviation of 0.7708 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0858%. The entity maintains a market beta of 0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Xtrackers MSCI's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Xtrackers MSCI is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

Xtrackers MSCI has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xtrackers MSCI time series from 28th of November 2023 to 10th of June 2024 and 10th of June 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xtrackers MSCI price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Xtrackers MSCI price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.63

Xtrackers MSCI lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Xtrackers MSCI etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Xtrackers MSCI's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Xtrackers MSCI returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Xtrackers MSCI has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Xtrackers MSCI regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Xtrackers MSCI etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Xtrackers MSCI etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Xtrackers MSCI etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Xtrackers MSCI Lagged Returns

When evaluating Xtrackers MSCI's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Xtrackers MSCI etf have on its future price. Xtrackers MSCI autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Xtrackers MSCI autocorrelation shows the relationship between Xtrackers MSCI etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Xtrackers MSCI.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Xtrackers Etf

Xtrackers MSCI financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xtrackers Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xtrackers with respect to the benefits of owning Xtrackers MSCI security.