Dunham International Opportunity Fund Market Value

DAIOX Fund  USD 7.85  0.01  0.13%   
Dunham International's market value is the price at which a share of Dunham International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dunham International Opportunity investors about its performance. Dunham International is trading at 7.85 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.13% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.86.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dunham International Opportunity and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dunham International over a given investment horizon. Check out Dunham International Correlation, Dunham International Volatility and Dunham International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dunham International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dunham International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dunham International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dunham International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dunham International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dunham International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dunham International.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dunham International on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dunham International Opportunity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dunham International over 720 days. Dunham International is related to or competes with Vanguard Financials, Gabelli Global, Financials Ultrasector, Mesirow Financial, Davis Financial, and Transamerica Financial. The funds sub-adviser seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing, under normal market conditions, at least ... More

Dunham International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dunham International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dunham International Opportunity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dunham International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dunham International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dunham International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dunham International historical prices to predict the future Dunham International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.687.858.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.047.218.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.687.858.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.797.837.87
Details

Dunham International Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Dunham Mutual Fund to be very steady. Dunham International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which denotes the fund had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Dunham International Opportunity, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Dunham International's Standard Deviation of 0.1694, mean deviation of 0.1408, and Coefficient Of Variation of 721.37 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0242%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0436, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dunham International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dunham International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.53  

Modest predictability

Dunham International Opportunity has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dunham International time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dunham International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Dunham International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.53
Spearman Rank Test0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Dunham International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dunham International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dunham International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dunham International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dunham International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dunham International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dunham International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dunham International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dunham International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dunham International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dunham International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dunham International mutual fund have on its future price. Dunham International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dunham International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dunham International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dunham International Opportunity.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dunham Mutual Fund

Dunham International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunham with respect to the benefits of owning Dunham International security.
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