Carvana Co Stock Market Value

CVNA Stock  USD 233.10  9.89  4.43%   
Carvana's market value is the price at which a share of Carvana trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Carvana Co investors about its performance. Carvana is trading at 233.10 as of the 1st of March 2025, a 4.43% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 223.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Carvana Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Carvana over a given investment horizon. Check out Carvana Correlation, Carvana Volatility and Carvana Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Carvana.
Symbol

Carvana Price To Book Ratio

Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carvana. If investors know Carvana will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carvana listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
1.59
Revenue Per Share
111.759
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.463
Return On Assets
0.0796
The market value of Carvana is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carvana that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carvana's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carvana's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carvana's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carvana's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carvana's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carvana is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carvana's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Carvana 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Carvana's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Carvana.
0.00
01/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Carvana on January 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Carvana Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Carvana over 30 days. Carvana is related to or competes with CarMax, U Power, SunCar Technology, Jiuzi Holdings, AutoNation, Lithia Motors, and Asbury Automotive. Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the Uni... More

Carvana Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Carvana's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Carvana Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Carvana Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Carvana's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Carvana's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Carvana historical prices to predict the future Carvana's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
227.88231.90235.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
219.44223.46256.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
206.83210.85214.87
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
229.46252.16279.89
Details

Carvana Backtested Returns

Carvana secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0169, which signifies that the company had a -0.0169 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Carvana Co exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Carvana's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0043, standard deviation of 3.9, and Mean Deviation of 2.69 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.43, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Carvana will likely underperform. At this point, Carvana has a negative expected return of -0.0681%. Please make sure to confirm Carvana's kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Carvana performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.84  

Excellent reverse predictability

Carvana Co has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Carvana time series from 30th of January 2025 to 14th of February 2025 and 14th of February 2025 to 1st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Carvana price movement. The serial correlation of -0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Carvana price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.84
Spearman Rank Test-0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance719.77

Carvana lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Carvana stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Carvana's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Carvana returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Carvana has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Carvana regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Carvana stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Carvana stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Carvana stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Carvana Lagged Returns

When evaluating Carvana's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Carvana stock have on its future price. Carvana autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Carvana autocorrelation shows the relationship between Carvana stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Carvana Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Carvana offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Carvana's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Carvana Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Carvana Co Stock:
Check out Carvana Correlation, Carvana Volatility and Carvana Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Carvana.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Carvana technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Carvana technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Carvana trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...