Cullen Value Fund Market Value
| CVLEX Fund | USD 13.51 0.23 1.73% |
| Symbol | Cullen |
Cullen Value 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cullen Value's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cullen Value.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Cullen Value on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cullen Value Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cullen Value over 90 days. Cullen Value is related to or competes with Cullen High, and Guggenheim Large. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes, in common stocks of com... More
Cullen Value Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cullen Value's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cullen Value Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.78 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.62) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.22 |
Cullen Value Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cullen Value's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cullen Value's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cullen Value historical prices to predict the future Cullen Value's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.25) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cullen Value's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cullen Value Backtested Returns
Cullen Value secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0794, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0794 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Cullen Value Fund exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cullen Value's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14), standard deviation of 0.8815, and Mean Deviation of 0.6576 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.61, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Cullen Value's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cullen Value is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.48 |
Modest reverse predictability
Cullen Value Fund has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cullen Value time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cullen Value price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Cullen Value price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.25 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
Cullen Value lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Cullen Value mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cullen Value's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cullen Value returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cullen Value has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Cullen Value regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cullen Value mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cullen Value mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cullen Value mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Cullen Value Lagged Returns
When evaluating Cullen Value's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cullen Value mutual fund have on its future price. Cullen Value autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cullen Value autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cullen Value mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cullen Value Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Cullen Mutual Fund
Cullen Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cullen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cullen with respect to the benefits of owning Cullen Value security.
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