Conquer Risk Defensive Fund Market Value

CRDBX Fund  USD 13.44  0.23  1.68%   
Conquer Risk's market value is the price at which a share of Conquer Risk trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Conquer Risk Defensive investors about its performance. Conquer Risk is trading at 13.44 as of the 25th of December 2024; that is 1.68 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.67.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Conquer Risk Defensive and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Conquer Risk over a given investment horizon. Check out Conquer Risk Correlation, Conquer Risk Volatility and Conquer Risk Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Conquer Risk.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Conquer Risk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Conquer Risk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Conquer Risk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Conquer Risk 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Conquer Risk's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Conquer Risk.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Conquer Risk on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Conquer Risk Defensive or generate 0.0% return on investment in Conquer Risk over 60 days. Conquer Risk is related to or competes with Conquer Risk, Conquer Risk, Conquer Risk, Putnam Floating, Blackrock Mid, and Alger Concentrated. The fund seeks long-term capital appreciation by constructing a portfolio that is comprised, under normal market conditi... More

Conquer Risk Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Conquer Risk's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Conquer Risk Defensive upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Conquer Risk Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Conquer Risk's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Conquer Risk's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Conquer Risk historical prices to predict the future Conquer Risk's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3713.4414.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7613.8314.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5113.5714.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.4113.4014.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Conquer Risk. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Conquer Risk's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Conquer Risk's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Conquer Risk Defensive.

Conquer Risk Defensive Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Conquer Mutual Fund to be very steady. Conquer Risk Defensive secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the fund had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Conquer Risk Defensive, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Conquer Risk's Mean Deviation of 0.7137, risk adjusted performance of 0.1168, and Downside Deviation of 1.22 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0668, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Conquer Risk's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Conquer Risk is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Conquer Risk Defensive has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Conquer Risk time series from 26th of October 2024 to 25th of November 2024 and 25th of November 2024 to 25th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Conquer Risk Defensive price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Conquer Risk price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Conquer Risk Defensive lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Conquer Risk mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Conquer Risk's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Conquer Risk returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Conquer Risk has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Conquer Risk regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Conquer Risk mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Conquer Risk mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Conquer Risk mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Conquer Risk Lagged Returns

When evaluating Conquer Risk's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Conquer Risk mutual fund have on its future price. Conquer Risk autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Conquer Risk autocorrelation shows the relationship between Conquer Risk mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Conquer Risk Defensive.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Conquer Mutual Fund

Conquer Risk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conquer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conquer with respect to the benefits of owning Conquer Risk security.
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