Caisse Regionale (France) Market Value

CIV Stock  EUR 61.00  0.20  0.33%   
Caisse Regionale's market value is the price at which a share of Caisse Regionale trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Caisse Regionale de investors about its performance. Caisse Regionale is trading at 61.00 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 0.33 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 60.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Caisse Regionale de and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Caisse Regionale over a given investment horizon. Check out Caisse Regionale Correlation, Caisse Regionale Volatility and Caisse Regionale Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Caisse Regionale.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Caisse Regionale's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caisse Regionale is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caisse Regionale's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Caisse Regionale 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Caisse Regionale's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Caisse Regionale.
0.00
12/10/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Caisse Regionale on December 10, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Caisse Regionale de or generate 0.0% return on investment in Caisse Regionale over 360 days. Caisse Regionale is related to or competes with Caisse Rgionale, Caisse Rgionale, and Caisse Regionale. Caisse rgionale de Crdit Agricole Mutuel dIlle-et-Vilaine Socit cooprative provides banking services in France More

Caisse Regionale Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Caisse Regionale's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Caisse Regionale de upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Caisse Regionale Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Caisse Regionale's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Caisse Regionale's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Caisse Regionale historical prices to predict the future Caisse Regionale's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.7661.0062.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.6250.8667.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59.2060.4461.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.5962.1063.62
Details

Caisse Regionale Backtested Returns

At this point, Caisse Regionale is very steady. Caisse Regionale secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0469, which signifies that the company had a 0.0469% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Caisse Regionale de, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Caisse Regionale's Mean Deviation of 0.866, downside deviation of 1.36, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0397 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.058%. Caisse Regionale has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Caisse Regionale are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Caisse Regionale is likely to outperform the market. Caisse Regionale right now shows a risk of 1.24%. Please confirm Caisse Regionale value at risk, kurtosis, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if Caisse Regionale will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.53  

Modest predictability

Caisse Regionale de has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Caisse Regionale time series from 10th of December 2023 to 7th of June 2024 and 7th of June 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Caisse Regionale price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Caisse Regionale price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.53
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.27

Caisse Regionale lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Caisse Regionale stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Caisse Regionale's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Caisse Regionale returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Caisse Regionale has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Caisse Regionale regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Caisse Regionale stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Caisse Regionale stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Caisse Regionale stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Caisse Regionale Lagged Returns

When evaluating Caisse Regionale's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Caisse Regionale stock have on its future price. Caisse Regionale autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Caisse Regionale autocorrelation shows the relationship between Caisse Regionale stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Caisse Regionale de.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in Caisse Stock

Caisse Regionale financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caisse Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caisse with respect to the benefits of owning Caisse Regionale security.