Cullen International High Fund Market Value

CIHCX Fund  USD 10.97  0.07  0.64%   
Cullen International's market value is the price at which a share of Cullen International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cullen International High investors about its performance. Cullen International is trading at 10.97 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.64 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cullen International High and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cullen International over a given investment horizon. Check out Cullen International Correlation, Cullen International Volatility and Cullen International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cullen International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cullen International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cullen International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cullen International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cullen International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cullen International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cullen International.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cullen International on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cullen International High or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cullen International over 90 days. Cullen International is related to or competes with Cullen Small, Cullen Small, Cullen Small, Cullen Value, Cullen Value, Cullen Value, and Cullen Emerging. The investment seeks long-term capital appreciation and current income More

Cullen International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cullen International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cullen International High upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cullen International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cullen International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cullen International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cullen International historical prices to predict the future Cullen International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cullen International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3310.9711.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1110.7511.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3811.0111.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7510.9611.16
Details

Cullen International High Backtested Returns

Cullen International High secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0804, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0804% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Cullen International High exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cullen International's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), standard deviation of 0.6367, and Mean Deviation of 0.5009 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0382, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cullen International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cullen International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Cullen International High has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cullen International time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 18th of October 2024 and 18th of October 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cullen International High price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Cullen International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Cullen International High lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Cullen International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cullen International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cullen International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cullen International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Cullen International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cullen International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cullen International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cullen International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Cullen International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Cullen International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cullen International mutual fund have on its future price. Cullen International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cullen International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cullen International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cullen International High.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Cullen Mutual Fund

Cullen International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cullen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cullen with respect to the benefits of owning Cullen International security.
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