Church Dwight Stock Market Value

CHD Stock  USD 110.13  0.23  0.21%   
Church Dwight's market value is the price at which a share of Church Dwight trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Church Dwight investors about its performance. Church Dwight is trading at 110.13 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 0.21 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 109.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Church Dwight and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Church Dwight over a given investment horizon. Check out Church Dwight Correlation, Church Dwight Volatility and Church Dwight Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Church Dwight.
For information on how to trade Church Stock refer to our How to Trade Church Stock guide.
Symbol

Church Dwight Price To Book Ratio

Is Household Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Church Dwight. If investors know Church will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Church Dwight listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.112
Dividend Share
1.121
Earnings Share
2.23
Revenue Per Share
24.777
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.038
The market value of Church Dwight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Church that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Church Dwight's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Church Dwight's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Church Dwight's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Church Dwight's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Church Dwight's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Church Dwight is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Church Dwight's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Church Dwight 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Church Dwight's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Church Dwight.
0.00
06/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Church Dwight on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Church Dwight or generate 0.0% return on investment in Church Dwight over 180 days. Church Dwight is related to or competes with Colgate Palmolive, Unilever PLC, Kimberly Clark, Estee Lauder, ELF Beauty, Coty, and Kenvue. Church Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets household, personal care, and specialty products More

Church Dwight Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Church Dwight's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Church Dwight upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Church Dwight Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Church Dwight's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Church Dwight's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Church Dwight historical prices to predict the future Church Dwight's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.00110.16111.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.92101.08121.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.65108.81109.97
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
88.7597.53108.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Church Dwight. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Church Dwight's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Church Dwight's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Church Dwight.

Church Dwight Backtested Returns

At this point, Church Dwight is very steady. Church Dwight secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0708, which signifies that the company had a 0.0708% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Church Dwight, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Church Dwight's Downside Deviation of 1.02, mean deviation of 0.8824, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.088 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0822%. Church Dwight has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Church Dwight's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Church Dwight is expected to be smaller as well. Church Dwight right now shows a risk of 1.16%. Please confirm Church Dwight sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if Church Dwight will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.14  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Church Dwight has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Church Dwight time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Church Dwight price movement. The serial correlation of -0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Church Dwight price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.14
Spearman Rank Test-0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance11.26

Church Dwight lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Church Dwight stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Church Dwight's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Church Dwight returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Church Dwight has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Church Dwight regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Church Dwight stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Church Dwight stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Church Dwight stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Church Dwight Lagged Returns

When evaluating Church Dwight's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Church Dwight stock have on its future price. Church Dwight autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Church Dwight autocorrelation shows the relationship between Church Dwight stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Church Dwight.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Church Dwight is a strong investment it is important to analyze Church Dwight's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Church Dwight's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Church Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Church Dwight Correlation, Church Dwight Volatility and Church Dwight Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Church Dwight.
For information on how to trade Church Stock refer to our How to Trade Church Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Church Dwight technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Church Dwight technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Church Dwight trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...