Sprott Physical Gold Etf Market Value

CEF Etf  USD 24.40  0.22  0.89%   
Sprott Physical's market value is the price at which a share of Sprott Physical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Sprott Physical Gold investors about its performance. Sprott Physical is trading at 24.40 as of the 4th of December 2024. This is a 0.89 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 24.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Sprott Physical Gold and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Sprott Physical over a given investment horizon. Check out Sprott Physical Correlation, Sprott Physical Volatility and Sprott Physical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Sprott Physical.
Symbol

The market value of Sprott Physical Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprott that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprott Physical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprott Physical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprott Physical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprott Physical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprott Physical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprott Physical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprott Physical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Sprott Physical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sprott Physical's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sprott Physical.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Sprott Physical on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sprott Physical Gold or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sprott Physical over 30 days. Sprott Physical is related to or competes with Sprott Physical, Sprott Physical, Blue Owl, Ares Management, Sprott Physical, Sprott, and BlackRock Energy. Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust is an exchange traded commodity launched and managed by Sprott Asset Management, L... More

Sprott Physical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sprott Physical's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sprott Physical Gold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Sprott Physical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sprott Physical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sprott Physical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sprott Physical historical prices to predict the future Sprott Physical's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sprott Physical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.0624.4025.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1822.5226.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0925.4426.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.2024.5324.86
Details

Sprott Physical Gold Backtested Returns

At this point, Sprott Physical is very steady. Sprott Physical Gold owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0647, which indicates the etf had a 0.0647% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Sprott Physical Gold, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate Sprott Physical's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0447, semi deviation of 1.37, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1887.87 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.087%. The entity has a beta of -0.0524, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Sprott Physical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Sprott Physical is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Sprott Physical Gold has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sprott Physical time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sprott Physical Gold price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Sprott Physical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Sprott Physical Gold lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Sprott Physical etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Sprott Physical's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Sprott Physical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Sprott Physical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Sprott Physical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Sprott Physical etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Sprott Physical etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Sprott Physical etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Sprott Physical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Sprott Physical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Sprott Physical etf have on its future price. Sprott Physical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Sprott Physical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Sprott Physical etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Sprott Physical Gold.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Sprott Physical Gold is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sprott Physical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sprott Physical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sprott Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sprott Physical Correlation, Sprott Physical Volatility and Sprott Physical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Sprott Physical.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Sprott Physical technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Sprott Physical technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Sprott Physical trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...