Caleres Stock Market Value

CAL Stock  USD 31.63  0.55  1.77%   
Continental's market value is the price at which a share of Continental trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Caleres investors about its performance. Continental is selling for 31.63 as of the 28th of November 2024. This is a 1.77 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 31.19.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Caleres and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Continental over a given investment horizon. Check out Continental Correlation, Continental Volatility and Continental Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Continental.
Symbol

Continental Price To Book Ratio

Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Continental. If investors know Continental will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Continental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Dividend Share
0.28
Earnings Share
4.62
Revenue Per Share
82.667
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Continental is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Continental that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Continental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Continental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Continental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Continental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Continental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Continental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Continental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Continental 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Continental's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Continental.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Continental on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Caleres or generate 0.0% return on investment in Continental over 30 days. Continental is related to or competes with Vera Bradley, Wolverine World, Rocky Brands, Steven Madden, Weyco, and Designer Brands. Caleres, Inc. engages in the retail and wholesale of footwear in the United States, Canada, China, and Guam More

Continental Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Continental's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Caleres upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Continental Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Continental's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Continental's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Continental historical prices to predict the future Continental's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9131.3834.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.1732.6436.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.8231.2934.76
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.7133.7537.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Continental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Continental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Continental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Continental.

Continental Backtested Returns

Continental secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the company had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Caleres exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Continental's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), standard deviation of 3.44, and Mean Deviation of 2.16 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.48, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Continental will likely underperform. At this point, Continental has a negative expected return of -0.39%. Please make sure to confirm Continental's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Continental performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

Caleres has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Continental time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Continental price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Continental price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test-0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.87

Continental lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Continental stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Continental's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Continental returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Continental has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Continental regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Continental stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Continental stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Continental stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Continental Lagged Returns

When evaluating Continental's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Continental stock have on its future price. Continental autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Continental autocorrelation shows the relationship between Continental stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Caleres.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Continental is a strong investment it is important to analyze Continental's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Continental's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Continental Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Continental Correlation, Continental Volatility and Continental Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Continental.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Continental technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Continental technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Continental trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...