Cajxx Fund Market Value

CAJXX Fund   1.00  3.40  77.27%   
Cajxx's market value is the price at which a share of Cajxx trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cajxx investors about its performance. Cajxx is trading at 1.0 as of the 28th of December 2024; that is 77.27% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 4.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cajxx and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cajxx over a given investment horizon. Check out Cajxx Correlation, Cajxx Volatility and Cajxx Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cajxx.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cajxx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cajxx is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cajxx's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cajxx 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cajxx's money market fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cajxx.
0.00
09/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cajxx on September 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cajxx or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cajxx over 90 days. Cajxx is related to or competes with Virtus Nfj, Qs Large, Qs Large, Dana Large, Fidelity Series, Dodge Cox, and Cb Large. Cajxx is entity of United States. It is traded as Fund on NMFQS exchange. More

Cajxx Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cajxx's money market fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cajxx upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cajxx Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cajxx's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cajxx's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cajxx historical prices to predict the future Cajxx's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cajxx's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.00101.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.24101.24
Details

Cajxx Backtested Returns

Cajxx is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Cajxx secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have analyzed and interpolated twenty-six different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 7.32% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Cajxx Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0988, downside deviation of 31.96, and Mean Deviation of 21.26 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 17.21, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cajxx will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.55  

Good reverse predictability

Cajxx has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cajxx time series from 29th of September 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cajxx price movement. The serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Cajxx price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.55
Spearman Rank Test-0.95
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.5

Cajxx lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Cajxx money market fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cajxx's money market fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cajxx returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cajxx has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the money market fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Cajxx regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cajxx money market fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cajxx money market fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cajxx money market fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Cajxx Lagged Returns

When evaluating Cajxx's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cajxx money market fund have on its future price. Cajxx autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cajxx autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cajxx money market fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cajxx.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Cajxx Money Market Fund

Cajxx financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cajxx Money Market Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cajxx with respect to the benefits of owning Cajxx security.
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