China Construction (Germany) Market Value

C6T Stock  EUR 0.76  0.01  1.30%   
China Construction's market value is the price at which a share of China Construction trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Construction Bank investors about its performance. China Construction is trading at 0.76 as of the 11th of December 2024. This is a 1.3% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.76.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Construction Bank and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Construction over a given investment horizon. Check out China Construction Correlation, China Construction Volatility and China Construction Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Construction.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between China Construction's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Construction is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Construction's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Construction 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Construction's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Construction.
0.00
12/17/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China Construction on December 17, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Construction Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Construction over 360 days. China Construction is related to or competes with Chesapeake Utilities, AM EAGLE, Playa Hotels, Canadian Utilities, MIRAMAR HOTEL, G III, and INTERCONT HOTELS. China Construction Bank Corporation provides various banking and related financial services in the Peoples Republic of C... More

China Construction Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Construction's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Construction Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Construction Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Construction's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Construction's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Construction historical prices to predict the future China Construction's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.773.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.733.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.793.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.660.710.77
Details

China Construction Bank Backtested Returns

China Construction appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. China Construction Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for China Construction Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of China Construction's Downside Deviation of 3.1, risk adjusted performance of 0.0957, and Mean Deviation of 2.16 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, China Construction holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0077, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, China Construction's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China Construction is expected to be smaller as well. Please check China Construction's information ratio, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether China Construction's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

China Construction Bank has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Construction time series from 17th of December 2023 to 14th of June 2024 and 14th of June 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Construction Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current China Construction price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

China Construction Bank lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Construction stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Construction's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Construction returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Construction has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Construction regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Construction stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Construction stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Construction stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Construction Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Construction's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Construction stock have on its future price. China Construction autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Construction autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Construction stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Construction Bank.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Construction security.