Barry Callebaut's market value is the price at which a share of Barry Callebaut trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Barry Callebaut AG investors about its performance. Barry Callebaut is trading at 1284.60 as of the 10th of January 2025. This is a 4.18 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1284.6. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Barry Callebaut AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Barry Callebaut over a given investment horizon. Check out Barry Callebaut Correlation, Barry Callebaut Volatility and Barry Callebaut Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Barry Callebaut.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barry Callebaut's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barry Callebaut is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barry Callebaut's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Barry Callebaut 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Barry Callebaut's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Barry Callebaut.
0.00
12/11/2024
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 30 days
01/10/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in Barry Callebaut on December 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Barry Callebaut AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Barry Callebaut over 30 days. Barry Callebaut is related to or competes with Hershey, Mondelez International, Chocoladefabriken, Bunzl Plc, China Mengniu, Kerry Group, and Kerry Group. Barry Callebaut AG, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cocoa and chocolate products More
Barry Callebaut Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Barry Callebaut's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Barry Callebaut AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Barry Callebaut's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Barry Callebaut's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Barry Callebaut historical prices to predict the future Barry Callebaut's volatility.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Barry Callebaut. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Barry Callebaut's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Barry Callebaut's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Barry Callebaut AG.
Barry Callebaut AG Backtested Returns
Barry Callebaut AG secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the company had a -0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Barry Callebaut AG exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Barry Callebaut's Standard Deviation of 2.61, mean deviation of 1.01, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.54, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Barry Callebaut are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Barry Callebaut is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Barry Callebaut AG has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to confirm Barry Callebaut's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and day typical price , to decide if Barry Callebaut AG performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation
0.82
Very good predictability
Barry Callebaut AG has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Barry Callebaut time series from 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024 and 26th of December 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Barry Callebaut AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Barry Callebaut price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.82
Spearman Rank Test
0.31
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
786.52
Barry Callebaut AG lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Barry Callebaut pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Barry Callebaut's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Barry Callebaut returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Barry Callebaut has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Barry Callebaut regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Barry Callebaut pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Barry Callebaut pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Barry Callebaut pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Barry Callebaut Lagged Returns
When evaluating Barry Callebaut's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Barry Callebaut pink sheet have on its future price. Barry Callebaut autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Barry Callebaut autocorrelation shows the relationship between Barry Callebaut pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Barry Callebaut AG.
Other Information on Investing in Barry Pink Sheet
Barry Callebaut financial ratios help investors to determine whether Barry Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Barry with respect to the benefits of owning Barry Callebaut security.