Budapest (Hungary) Market Value

BUX Index   77,936  437.87  0.56%   
Budapest's market value is the price at which a share of Budapest trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Budapest SE investors about its performance. Budapest is listed at 77936.21 as of the 30th of November 2024, which is a 0.56 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The index's lowest day price was 77936.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Budapest SE and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Budapest over a given investment horizon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any index could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
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Budapest 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Budapest's index what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Budapest.
0.00
06/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Budapest on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Budapest SE or generate 0.0% return on investment in Budapest over 180 days.

Budapest Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Budapest's index current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Budapest SE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Budapest Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Budapest's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Budapest's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Budapest historical prices to predict the future Budapest's volatility.

Budapest SE Backtested Returns

Budapest SE secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the index had a 0.15% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Budapest SE, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. The index shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Budapest are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

Budapest SE has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Budapest time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Budapest SE price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Budapest price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.68
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.1 M

Budapest SE lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Budapest index's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Budapest's index expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Budapest returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Budapest has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the index is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Budapest regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Budapest index is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Budapest index is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Budapest index over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Budapest Lagged Returns

When evaluating Budapest's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Budapest index have on its future price. Budapest autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Budapest autocorrelation shows the relationship between Budapest index current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Budapest SE.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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