BTG Pactual (Brazil) Market Value

BTLG11 Fund  BRL 95.77  0.83  0.86%   
BTG Pactual's market value is the price at which a share of BTG Pactual trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BTG Pactual Logstica investors about its performance. BTG Pactual is trading at 95.77 as of the 26th of February 2025, a 0.86% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 96.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BTG Pactual Logstica and determine expected loss or profit from investing in BTG Pactual over a given investment horizon. Check out BTG Pactual Correlation, BTG Pactual Volatility and BTG Pactual Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on BTG Pactual.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between BTG Pactual's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BTG Pactual is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BTG Pactual's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

BTG Pactual 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BTG Pactual's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BTG Pactual.
0.00
01/27/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in BTG Pactual on January 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BTG Pactual Logstica or generate 0.0% return on investment in BTG Pactual over 30 days. BTG Pactual is related to or competes with BB Renda. BTG Pactual Logstica Fundo de Investimento Imobilirio specializes in real estate investing More

BTG Pactual Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BTG Pactual's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BTG Pactual Logstica upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

BTG Pactual Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BTG Pactual's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BTG Pactual's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BTG Pactual historical prices to predict the future BTG Pactual's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.2795.7797.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.7287.22105.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.4894.9896.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.3694.9796.59
Details

BTG Pactual Logstica Backtested Returns

At this point, BTG Pactual is very steady. BTG Pactual Logstica secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0162, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0162 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for BTG Pactual Logstica, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm BTG Pactual's Mean Deviation of 0.8961, standard deviation of 1.45, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.0005) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0244%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.025, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning BTG Pactual are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, BTG Pactual is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

BTG Pactual Logstica has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BTG Pactual time series from 27th of January 2025 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 26th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BTG Pactual Logstica price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current BTG Pactual price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.48

BTG Pactual Logstica lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is BTG Pactual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BTG Pactual's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BTG Pactual returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BTG Pactual has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

BTG Pactual regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BTG Pactual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BTG Pactual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BTG Pactual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

BTG Pactual Lagged Returns

When evaluating BTG Pactual's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BTG Pactual fund have on its future price. BTG Pactual autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BTG Pactual autocorrelation shows the relationship between BTG Pactual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BTG Pactual Logstica.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in BTG Fund

BTG Pactual financial ratios help investors to determine whether BTG Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BTG with respect to the benefits of owning BTG Pactual security.
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