Bradespar (Brazil) Market Value

BRAP4 Preferred Stock  BRL 17.12  0.05  0.29%   
Bradespar's market value is the price at which a share of Bradespar trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bradespar SA investors about its performance. Bradespar is selling for under 17.12 as of the 27th of February 2025; that is 0.29% down since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 17.09.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bradespar SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bradespar over a given investment horizon. Check out Bradespar Correlation, Bradespar Volatility and Bradespar Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bradespar.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bradespar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bradespar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bradespar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bradespar 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bradespar's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bradespar.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bradespar on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bradespar SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bradespar over 30 days. Bradespar is related to or competes with Braskem SA, Metalurgica Gerdau, Companhia Siderrgica, Companhia Energtica, and Companhia Paranaense. Bradespar S.A., through its interest in VALE, operates as a mining company in the production of iron ore, iron ore pelle... More

Bradespar Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bradespar's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bradespar SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bradespar Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bradespar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bradespar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bradespar historical prices to predict the future Bradespar's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.6217.1218.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1616.6618.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.9717.4718.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3716.8917.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bradespar. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bradespar's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bradespar's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bradespar SA.

Bradespar SA Backtested Returns

Bradespar SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0635, which signifies that the company had a -0.0635 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Bradespar SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bradespar's risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 1.11 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0014, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bradespar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bradespar is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Bradespar SA has a negative expected return of -0.0932%. Please make sure to confirm Bradespar's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Bradespar SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.66  

Good predictability

Bradespar SA has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bradespar time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bradespar SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Bradespar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.66
Spearman Rank Test0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Bradespar SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bradespar preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bradespar's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bradespar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bradespar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bradespar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bradespar preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bradespar preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bradespar preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bradespar Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bradespar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bradespar preferred stock have on its future price. Bradespar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bradespar autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bradespar preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bradespar SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Bradespar Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Bradespar's price analysis, check to measure Bradespar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bradespar is operating at the current time. Most of Bradespar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bradespar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bradespar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bradespar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.