IShares Ibovespa (Brazil) Market Value

BOVA11 Etf  BRL 115.46  1.64  1.40%   
IShares Ibovespa's market value is the price at which a share of IShares Ibovespa trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of iShares Ibovespa Index investors about its performance. IShares Ibovespa is trading at 115.46 as of the 4th of January 2025, a 1.4 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 117.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of iShares Ibovespa Index and determine expected loss or profit from investing in IShares Ibovespa over a given investment horizon. Check out IShares Ibovespa Correlation, IShares Ibovespa Volatility and IShares Ibovespa Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on IShares Ibovespa.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Ibovespa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Ibovespa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares Ibovespa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

IShares Ibovespa 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to IShares Ibovespa's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of IShares Ibovespa.
0.00
11/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
01/04/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in IShares Ibovespa on November 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding iShares Ibovespa Index or generate 0.0% return on investment in IShares Ibovespa over 60 days. iShares Ibovespa Index Fund is an exchange traded fund launched and managed by BlackRock Brasil Gestora de Investimentos... More

IShares Ibovespa Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure IShares Ibovespa's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess iShares Ibovespa Index upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

IShares Ibovespa Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for IShares Ibovespa's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as IShares Ibovespa's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use IShares Ibovespa historical prices to predict the future IShares Ibovespa's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.43115.46116.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
111.90112.93127.01
Details

iShares Ibovespa Index Backtested Returns

iShares Ibovespa Index holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.17, which attests that the entity had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. iShares Ibovespa Index exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out IShares Ibovespa's Standard Deviation of 1.01, risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.20) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, IShares Ibovespa's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding IShares Ibovespa is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

iShares Ibovespa Index has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between IShares Ibovespa time series from 5th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024 and 5th of December 2024 to 4th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of iShares Ibovespa Index price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current IShares Ibovespa price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.64

iShares Ibovespa Index lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is IShares Ibovespa etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting IShares Ibovespa's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of IShares Ibovespa returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that IShares Ibovespa has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

IShares Ibovespa regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If IShares Ibovespa etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if IShares Ibovespa etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in IShares Ibovespa etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

IShares Ibovespa Lagged Returns

When evaluating IShares Ibovespa's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of IShares Ibovespa etf have on its future price. IShares Ibovespa autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, IShares Ibovespa autocorrelation shows the relationship between IShares Ibovespa etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in iShares Ibovespa Index.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in IShares Etf

IShares Ibovespa financial ratios help investors to determine whether IShares Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IShares with respect to the benefits of owning IShares Ibovespa security.