BEL Market Value
| BEL Crypto | USD 0.58 0.07 10.77% |
| Symbol | BEL |
BEL 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BEL's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BEL.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in BEL on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BEL or generate 0.0% return on investment in BEL over 90 days. BEL is related to or competes with Staked Ether, Phala Network, EigenLayer, Morpho, and DIA. BEL is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
BEL Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BEL's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BEL upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 52.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.38 |
BEL Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BEL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BEL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BEL historical prices to predict the future BEL's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.639 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.8929 |
BEL Backtested Returns
At this point, BEL is unreasonably risky. BEL secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that digital coin had a close to zero % return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for BEL, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of coin. Please confirm BEL's Mean Deviation of 5.0, coefficient of variation of (2,922), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0282%. The crypto shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.28, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning BEL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, BEL is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.38 |
Poor reverse predictability
BEL has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BEL time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BEL price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current BEL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.35 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
BEL lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is BEL crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BEL's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BEL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BEL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
BEL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BEL crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BEL crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BEL crypto coin over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
BEL Lagged Returns
When evaluating BEL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BEL crypto coin have on its future price. BEL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BEL autocorrelation shows the relationship between BEL crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BEL.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether BEL offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BEL's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bel Crypto.Check out BEL Correlation, BEL Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on BEL. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
BEL technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.