BASF SE (Germany) Market Value
| BAS Stock | EUR 42.44 0.61 1.42% |
| Symbol | BASF |
BASF SE 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BASF SE's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BASF SE.
| 12/09/2022 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in BASF SE on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BASF SE or generate 0.0% return on investment in BASF SE over 720 days. BASF SE is related to or competes with Allianz SE, Siemens Aktiengesellscha, Bayer AG, S A P, and Deutsche Lufthansa. It operates through six segments Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition Care, and A... More
BASF SE Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BASF SE's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BASF SE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.04 |
BASF SE Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BASF SE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BASF SE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BASF SE historical prices to predict the future BASF SE's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.37) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.20) |
BASF SE Backtested Returns
BASF SE secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.06, which signifies that the company had a -0.06% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. BASF SE exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BASF SE's Mean Deviation of 1.32, variance of 3.09, and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,164) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.46, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, BASF SE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BASF SE is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, BASF SE has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to confirm BASF SE's maximum drawdown, kurtosis, day median price, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to decide if BASF SE performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | -0.23 |
Weak reverse predictability
BASF SE has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BASF SE time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BASF SE price movement. The serial correlation of -0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current BASF SE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.23 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 6.52 |
BASF SE lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is BASF SE stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BASF SE's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BASF SE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BASF SE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
BASF SE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BASF SE stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BASF SE stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BASF SE stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
BASF SE Lagged Returns
When evaluating BASF SE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BASF SE stock have on its future price. BASF SE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BASF SE autocorrelation shows the relationship between BASF SE stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BASF SE.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in BASF Stock
BASF SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether BASF Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BASF with respect to the benefits of owning BASF SE security.