Ab Virginia Portfolio Fund Market Value

AVACX Fund  USD 10.56  0.02  0.19%   
Ab Virginia's market value is the price at which a share of Ab Virginia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ab Virginia Portfolio investors about its performance. Ab Virginia is trading at 10.56 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 0.19 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.58.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ab Virginia Portfolio and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ab Virginia over a given investment horizon. Check out Ab Virginia Correlation, Ab Virginia Volatility and Ab Virginia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ab Virginia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ab Virginia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ab Virginia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ab Virginia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ab Virginia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ab Virginia's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ab Virginia.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ab Virginia on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ab Virginia Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ab Virginia over 30 days. Ab Virginia is related to or competes with Absolute Convertible, Virtus Convertible, Putnam Convertible, and Lord Abbett. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal securities that pay interest that is exempt from fed... More

Ab Virginia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ab Virginia's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ab Virginia Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ab Virginia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ab Virginia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ab Virginia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ab Virginia historical prices to predict the future Ab Virginia's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ab Virginia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3410.5610.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3210.5410.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3210.5510.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4410.5410.63
Details

Ab Virginia Portfolio Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider AVACX Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ab Virginia Portfolio retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0011, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0011% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ab Virginia, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Ab Virginia's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.124, coefficient of variation of 2488.24, and Standard Deviation of 0.2202 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 2.0E-4%. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0101, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ab Virginia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ab Virginia is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.80  

Very good predictability

Ab Virginia Portfolio has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ab Virginia time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ab Virginia Portfolio price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current Ab Virginia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.8
Spearman Rank Test0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Ab Virginia Portfolio lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ab Virginia mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ab Virginia's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ab Virginia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ab Virginia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ab Virginia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ab Virginia mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ab Virginia mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ab Virginia mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ab Virginia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ab Virginia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ab Virginia mutual fund have on its future price. Ab Virginia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ab Virginia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ab Virginia mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ab Virginia Portfolio.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in AVACX Mutual Fund

Ab Virginia financial ratios help investors to determine whether AVACX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AVACX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Virginia security.
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