Amg River Road Fund Market Value

ARRZX Fund  USD 13.59  0.04  0.30%   
Amg River's market value is the price at which a share of Amg River trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Amg River Road investors about its performance. Amg River is trading at 13.59 as of the 28th of March 2025; that is 0.30 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Amg River Road and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Amg River over a given investment horizon. Check out Amg River Correlation, Amg River Volatility and Amg River Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amg River.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Amg River's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amg River is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amg River's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amg River 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amg River's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amg River.
0.00
12/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/28/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Amg River on December 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amg River Road or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amg River over 90 days. Amg River is related to or competes with Pace High, Pgim Esg, Muzinich, American Century, T Rowe, Chartwell Short, and Western Asset. The fund principally invests in a portfolio of equity securities of U.S More

Amg River Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amg River's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amg River Road upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amg River Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amg River's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amg River's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amg River historical prices to predict the future Amg River's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8213.5914.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2314.7315.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9113.6814.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2313.5113.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amg River. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amg River's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amg River's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amg River Road.

Amg River Road Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Amg Mutual Fund to be very steady. Amg River Road secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the fund had a 0.11 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Amg River Road, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Amg River's mean deviation of 0.649, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0938 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0846%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.69, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Amg River's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Amg River is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.46  

Modest reverse predictability

Amg River Road has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amg River time series from 28th of December 2024 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 28th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amg River Road price movement. The serial correlation of -0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Amg River price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.46
Spearman Rank Test-0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02
Amg ReturnsAmg Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayAmg ReturnsAmg Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

Amg River Road lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Amg River mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amg River's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amg River returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amg River has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 11Feb 16Feb 21Feb 26MarMar 08Mar 13Mar 18Mar 23-2%-1%0%1%2%3%4% 1
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

Amg River regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amg River mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amg River mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amg River mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 11Feb 16Feb 21Feb 26MarMar 08Mar 13Mar 18Mar 2313.013.113.213.313.413.513.6
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

Amg River Lagged Returns

When evaluating Amg River's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amg River mutual fund have on its future price. Amg River autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amg River autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amg River mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amg River Road.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152025FebMar12.813.013.213.413.613.8
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Amg Mutual Fund

Amg River financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amg with respect to the benefits of owning Amg River security.
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